NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	8.0 [277]		MVP	Chuma Okeke (ORL): +20.3%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	7.0 [113]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -17.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuma Okeke	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.07	0.04	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	11	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cole Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Caleb Houstan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	19	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Markelle Fultz	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	8	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	8	22%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	17	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	11	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	54%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	18	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.12
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	31.6	14.0	29.0	2.5	30.6	136.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +2.3%

ORL +18.2%

ORL +28.0%

ORL +4.5%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	14.5	114.0	104.4	113.9
season	15.1	15.6		111.8	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.2	15.9	16.0	13.7	15.6
NYK	18.8	14.2	17.5	18.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	49	50	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.34	18	-14	32	14.1	17.5	-3.40	17.6	16.4	1.15
Markelle Fultz	44	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-6	16	14.0	17.3	-3.38	16.7	17.5	-0.80
Chuma Okeke	42	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.48	-4	8	-12	18.0	13.3	4.77	17.2	16.9	0.31
Jonathan Isaac	31	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-11	26	12.7	17.2	-4.53	15.7	17.9	-2.20
Wendell Carter Jr.	38	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	-9	22	12.8	17.8	-5.00	16.9	17.2	-0.29
Goga Bitadze	48	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.49	-9	13	-22	17.8	12.8	5.00	17.4	16.6	0.79
Paolo Banchero	56	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.56	-12	16	-28	17.1	12.9	4.15	17.6	16.1	1.53
Joe Ingles	39	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-1	6	13.9	17.0	-3.12	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Jalen Suggs	45	48	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	10	-16	17.1	14.0	3.07	17.5	16.7	0.79
Caleb Houstan	38	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	14	-24	16.9	14.5	2.41	16.8	17.3	-0.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	39	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.5	18.3	-2.83	15.7	15.6	0.12
Malachi Flynn	25	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	3	-10	15.7	17.6	-1.90	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Josh Hart	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.16	-13	9	-22	17.1	17.1	-0.01	13.2	18.2	-4.95
Quentin Grimes	28	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	15.6	17.8	-2.20	13.7	16.4	-2.69
Donte DiVincenzo	43	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.55	9	-13	22	17.1	17.1	0.01	18.2	13.2	4.95
Miles McBride	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-7	10	17.6	15.7	1.90	16.1	14.3	1.79
Julius Randle	69	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-6	8	17.7	15.1	2.60	16.3	13.3	2.94
OG Anunoby	83	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	17.1	17.0	0.10	15.6	15.0	0.65
Isaiah Hartenstein	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	18.3	15.5	2.83	15.6	15.7	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.56,0.36,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.11,0.16,0	90.7%
IND 79, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	90.6%
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	90.6%