NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	122		Excitement	8.8 [167]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +29.8%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	5.1 [395]		LVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): -31.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3	0.13	0.19	0.02	17	65%	0.32	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.07	0.00	9	105%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	5	92%	0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	41%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Coby White	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	19	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.14	0.01	14	76%	0.33	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.27	0.01	0.05	13	94%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	5	90%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	15	35%	-0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	13	17%	-0.21	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	22.8	14.7	28.7	2.7	30.0	128.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.5%

CHI +14.8%

CHI +9.2%

CHI +1.0%

SAS -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	13.8	15.1	14.5	120.8	117.2	113.9
season	14.5	13.9		113.4	108.6
opponent	14.3	15.0		115.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	15.5	13.8	13.0	13.8
SAS	16.0	14.5	13.9	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	67	65	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.50	13	-7	20	13.1	15.1	-2.01	15.1	15.0	0.14
Zach LaVine	77	76	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.50	12	-6	18	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Alex Caruso	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-11	28	13.0	15.3	-2.32	16.5	12.0	4.46
DeMar DeRozan	70	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	0	6	13.5	14.3	-0.73	16.1	12.8	3.23
Coby White	71	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.58	-11	17	-28	14.6	11.8	2.82	13.8	17.7	-3.84
Ayo Dosunmu	61	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-1	8	13.8	13.7	0.00	15.4	14.5	0.90
Dalen Terry	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	7	-8	16.3	13.6	2.72	11.7	15.3	-3.60
Andre Drummond	34	34	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.17	-7	13	-20	15.1	13.1	2.01	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Jevon Carter	51	51	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.22	-6	12	-18	14.1	13.4	0.66	13.8	16.4	-2.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Wesley	21	23	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.10	5	-11	16	14.9	15.1	-0.26	14.7	13.5	1.28
Dominick Barlow	45	44	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-11	16	16.2	14.1	2.17	14.2	13.4	0.76
Cedi Osman	45	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-11	16	14.6	15.4	-0.76	15.0	12.6	2.34
Malaki Branham	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-9	12	13.6	16.4	-2.83	12.8	14.6	-1.83
Julian Champagnie	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	16.6	14.3	2.27	14.9	13.2	1.72
Sandro Mamukelashvili	39	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	13.9	15.8	-1.88	12.4	14.6	-2.21
Keldon Johnson	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.7	-2.55	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Tre Jones	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	8	-22	16.0	13.3	2.65	13.7	13.8	-0.03
Devin Vassell	73	74	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	7	-20	15.0	15.3	-0.39	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Jeremy Sochan	62	64	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	4	-14	15.7	14.0	1.74	13.9	13.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.4,0.33,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.5,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.37,0.16,0.17,0	91.5%
ORL 119, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.74,0.53,0.61,0.39,0.54,0.32,0.27,0	90.0%
DAL 89, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.27,0	89.8%