NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	140		Excitement	6.3 [554]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +35.9%
Chicago Bulls	131		Comeback	5.4 [165]		LVP	Dalen Terry (CHI): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.11	-0.01	19	68%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.23	0.07	-0.00	12	89%	0.30	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	13	65%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	5	76%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	24	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jerome Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.32	0.08	0.05	21	78%	0.39	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.05	0.01	13	86%	0.29	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	-0.00	0.01	15	76%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	24.0	24.8	29.7	1.8	32.2	138.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +5.9%

CHI -0.6%

GSW +16.9%

GSW +22.1%

GSW +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	14.5	141.4	136.5	113.9
season	14.3	14.5		116.2	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.4		115.1	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	15.2	12.3	17.7	15.1
CHI	15.3	14.1	16.0	12.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandin Podziemski	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	15.7	14.3	1.31	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Trayce Jackson-Davis	35	34	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-4	17	14.8	15.2	-0.41	14.9	14.2	0.64
Klay Thompson	71	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	0	9	14.4	16.9	-2.46	15.1	13.1	1.99
Jonathan Kuminga	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	15.0	15.2	-0.19	13.7	15.3	-1.56
Stephen Curry	74	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	4	1	15.1	14.9	0.23	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Dario Saric	58	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	4	1	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.7	14.1	0.51
Andrew Wiggins	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.20	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Cory Joseph	25	28	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.9	15.1	-0.23	15.2	14.1	1.05
Kevon Looney	54	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	16	-23	15.2	14.9	0.33	14.7	14.2	0.47
Jerome Robinson	9	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	17	-25	17.6	14.8	2.71	11.1	14.7	-3.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	73	77	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.31	12	-21	33	14.3	14.8	-0.45	15.4	14.0	1.34
Zach LaVine	71	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	14.1	15.4	-1.36	15.5	13.8	1.69
DeMar DeRozan	79	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-13	17	14.4	14.4	0.03	15.6	12.1	3.49
Andre Drummond	26	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.7	14.0	1.67	13.9	15.5	-1.55
Patrick Williams	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-7	5	14.0	15.1	-1.15	16.1	13.6	2.53
Nikola Vucevic	65	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Alex Caruso	57	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	3	-15	14.9	13.7	1.26	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Dalen Terry	15	16	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	3	-15	14.7	14.4	0.27	12.1	15.7	-3.54
Ayo Dosunmu	36	35	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.08	-24	15	-39	14.7	14.3	0.37	13.5	15.9	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.24,0.23,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, CHH 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
DET 109, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.3%
MIA 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	91.9%