NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	131		Excitement	6.1 [592]		MVP	Keegan Murray (SAC): +31.5%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	7.4 [648]		LVP	Killian Hayes (DET): -20.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.29	0.04	0.02	17	91%	0.35	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.02	0.07	21	80%	0.29	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Malik Monk	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.02	15	67%	0.23	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	19	65%	0.12	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.04	-0.05	11	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.03	0.04	14	84%	0.18	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	17	52%	0.08	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	14	57%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.8	29.2	17.3	25.7	1.8	26.4	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.8%

DET -4.9%

SAC +3.8%

SAC +13.8%

SAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	12.7	15.0	14.5	127.2	104.8	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		115.6	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.8		117.6	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.5	9.9	13.6	14.8	12.7
DET	12.8	17.1	15.2	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	74	75	0.87	-0.37	1.25	-0.07	32	-11	43	12.4	13.4	-1.08	15.5	13.7	1.87
Domantas Sabonis	81	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.08	28	-7	35	12.5	13.5	-1.00	15.4	13.5	1.89
Kevin Huerter	64	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	5	11	13.0	12.2	0.79	15.0	14.9	0.12
Trey Lyles	69	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.30	31	-10	41	11.4	15.1	-3.70	15.6	13.9	1.71
Malik Monk	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	3	15	12.4	13.0	-0.62	15.7	14.1	1.63
Kessler Edwards	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	20.5	12.5	7.99	9.5	15.1	-5.61
Davion Mitchell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	20.5	12.5	7.99	9.5	15.1	-5.61
Harrison Barnes	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	30	-39	14.2	12.0	2.16	13.7	15.5	-1.83
De'Aaron Fox	73	75	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	19	-17	13.1	11.5	1.60	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Keon Ellis	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	25	-29	15.4	12.4	2.93	13.0	15.2	-2.16
Juan Toscano-Anderson	31	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	27	-33	11.7	13.1	-1.37	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Alex Len	22	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	28	-35	13.5	12.5	1.00	13.5	15.4	-1.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Wiseman	52	51	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-22	23	14.6	15.4	-0.88	12.9	12.4	0.54
Ausar Thompson	29	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-19	17	14.9	15.0	-0.14	13.1	12.5	0.65
Joe Harris	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-23	25	15.8	14.9	0.96	15.3	12.1	3.16
Kevin Knox II	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-16	11	15.2	14.8	0.35	11.3	13.7	-2.40
Alec Burks	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.31	-15	-6	-9	15.4	14.7	0.78	11.1	13.8	-2.76
Marcus Sasser	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.00	-8	-13	5	15.5	14.7	0.73	11.6	13.3	-1.71
Isaiah Livers	35	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-14	7	14.6	15.2	-0.64	12.7	12.7	0.04
Killian Hayes	68	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-6	-9	14.6	15.8	-1.21	13.6	11.2	2.40
Jaden Ivey	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-6	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.90	13.1	11.7	1.33
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.04	-19	-2	-17	15.1	14.7	0.36	13.0	12.0	1.04
Jalen Duren	53	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.05	-22	1	-23	15.4	14.6	0.88	12.4	12.9	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, NOP 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	90.1%
ATL 133, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	88.7%
GSW 119, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	88.5%