NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	131		Excitement	10.8 [49]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +58.9%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	4.0 [208]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -3.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.39	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.39,0.39	0.07	0.32	0.00	13	58%	0.42	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.05
Al Horford	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.12	0.02	5	110%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	6	117%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	16	66%	0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.01	0.19	-0.17	0.01	26	70%	0.16	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.02
Oshae Brissett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	43%	0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Dalano Banton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Derrick White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	16	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.19,0.59	0.59	0.15	0.42	-0.02	15	70%	0.74	2	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	0.00	11	68%	0.29	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	5	108%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	74%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	44%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.5	15.4	30.4	2.5	35.9	142.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.5%

IND +34.0%

IND +4.4%

BOS -5.6%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.5	129.7	129.1	113.9
season	14.9	13.8		120.7	120.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		117.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	14.3	15.4	14.0	14.7
IND	14.2	12.9	11.3	16.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	34	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-7	12	14.9	14.7	0.26	12.1	14.2	-2.03
Dalano Banton	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	14.6	14.8	-0.13	13.6	13.5	0.13
Svi Mykhailiuk	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-1	0	16.5	14.5	1.95	12.5	13.6	-1.11
Luke Kornet	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	16.0	14.4	1.65	13.9	13.4	0.50
Payton Pritchard	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	0	-2	15.7	13.9	1.84	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Jrue Holiday	81	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-1	0	14.5	15.6	-1.07	13.6	13.3	0.28
Kristaps Porzingis	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-4	6	14.4	16.0	-1.65	13.5	13.4	0.18
Jaylen Brown	80	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-2	2	14.4	16.0	-1.65	13.5	13.4	0.13
Derrick White	76	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	14.5	15.5	-0.98	13.8	12.5	1.30
Al Horford	67	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.39	-9	7	-16	14.7	14.9	-0.26	14.2	12.1	2.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	52	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-5	12	14.0	13.0	1.08	14.8	14.7	0.08
T.J. McConnell	56	52	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-8	18	13.1	14.0	-0.83	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Bennedict Mathurin	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	4	-6	14.0	12.7	1.29	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Aaron Nesmith	56	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	1	0	14.2	12.7	1.52	14.3	15.3	-0.96
Myles Turner	75	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	4	-6	14.0	12.1	1.97	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Jalen Smith	59	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	-3	8	12.3	15.1	-2.85	15.0	14.4	0.52
Obi Toppin	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	-1	4	12.6	14.2	-1.59	15.6	14.1	1.50
Isaiah Jackson	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	13.5	13.5	0.03	15.7	14.6	1.09
Bruce Brown	45	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	0	2	13.0	13.9	-0.90	14.9	14.6	0.34
Andrew Nembhard	24	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	10	-18	13.7	13.5	0.21	16.0	14.3	1.64
Tyrese Haliburton	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	7	-12	13.9	13.3	0.59	14.6	14.8	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.58,1	91.1%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	89.8%
NYK 85, SEA 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.58,1	89.6%