NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	9.1 [135]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +38.4%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	1.6 [723]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -23.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.14	0.00	19	63%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	12	78%	0.28	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.06	-0.05	18	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,-0.02,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-0.03	16	50%	-0.08	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.36	0.03	0.01	18	81%	0.38	0	0.00	12	100%	0.10
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	18	62%	0.28	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Mensah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	31.2	14.7	27.0	1.5	27.0	1.6	11.4	138.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.5%

CHA -5.3%

CHI +11.4%

CHI +12.7%

CHI +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	17.4	14.5	115.5	109.8	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	108.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		118.7	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.0	13.7	13.2	15.3	13.3	13.7
CHA	16.5	19.7	16.2	18.3	15.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	68	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-10	27	13.4	14.3	-0.86	16.9	18.2	-1.30
Coby White	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	13.8	13.3	0.42	17.3	17.7	-0.40
DeMar DeRozan	85	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-7	21	13.8	13.1	0.70	17.4	17.1	0.37
Andre Drummond	45	43	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-9	25	13.4	13.9	-0.59	18.8	16.3	2.53
Patrick Williams	45	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	5	-3	13.5	13.9	-0.40	18.9	16.3	2.60
Zach LaVine	69	70	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	12	-17	13.8	13.4	0.46	16.3	19.7	-3.40
Ayo Dosunmu	33	36	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	10	-13	13.8	13.6	0.15	17.6	17.2	0.44
Nikola Vucevic	58	59	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.22	-9	16	-25	13.9	13.4	0.59	16.3	18.8	-2.53
Jevon Carter	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	11.7	13.9	-2.22	16.4	17.4	-1.00
Dalen Terry	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	14.5	13.5	1.07	19.2	16.9	2.37

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Mensah	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-8	9	18.7	16.9	1.85	13.7	13.7	0.02
JT Thor	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	18.1	16.8	1.31	13.9	13.6	0.29
James Bouknight	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.0	17.6	-2.58	13.1	13.7	-0.61
Bryce McGowens	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	19.3	15.8	3.50	13.7	13.7	0.04
Ish Smith	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	16.7	17.6	-0.97	13.1	13.9	-0.78
Nick Smith Jr.	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	18.1	16.2	1.90	14.2	13.0	1.20
Miles Bridges	79	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-5	3	16.4	20.6	-4.20	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Brandon Miller	59	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	16.8	18.1	-1.24	13.7	13.7	0.01
Nick Richards	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	16.9	18.7	-1.85	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Terry Rozier	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	17.1	18.6	-1.43	13.7	13.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	90.1%
PHX 134, CLE 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.12,0.21,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.54,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	89.2%
NYK 128, CHI 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.02,0	88.7%