NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	6.7 [488]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +34.5%
New York Knicks	116		Comeback	3.0 [740]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -16.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.27	0.08	0.01	13	90%	0.34	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Coby White	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.01	19	65%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	8	31%	-0.05	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.29	0.16	0.15	0.02	23	66%	0.33	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	22	69%	0.21	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	29.7	15.0	26.2	3.3	32.6	133.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.8%

CHI -5.6%

NYK +20.0%

CHI -10.8%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	14.5	105.3	120.8	113.9
season	14.5	15.6		113.4	116.8
opponent	14.4	15.0		113.0	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.5	12.3	14.3	18.9	14.5
NYK	14.7	15.9	13.9	18.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	27	30	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.16	13	-29	42	14.6	14.4	0.19	17.5	14.8	2.63
Dalen Terry	16	17	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-22	28	12.1	15.0	-2.92	17.1	15.4	1.70
Julian Phillips	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	17.0	14.4	2.56	17.0	15.6	1.39
Adama Sanogo	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	17.0	14.4	2.56	17.0	15.6	1.37
Terry Taylor	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-16	16	13.0	15.2	-2.21	15.6	15.7	-0.03
Alex Caruso	63	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.07	-11	-5	-6	15.1	13.4	1.69	15.9	15.2	0.64
Andre Drummond	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-1	-14	15.2	13.2	2.00	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Patrick Williams	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-2	-12	14.5	14.4	0.08	16.2	15.0	1.13
Ayo Dosunmu	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-5	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.53	14.7	17.5	-2.81
Coby White	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.09	-23	7	-30	14.7	13.6	1.16	15.1	17.6	-2.45
DeMar DeRozan	78	79	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.02	-25	9	-34	14.3	15.4	-1.12	15.6	15.9	-0.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	70	70	0.94	-0.44	1.37	-0.09	35	-19	54	14.3	19.3	-4.95	14.7	13.8	0.94
Isaiah Hartenstein	75	75	0.90	-0.40	1.30	-0.04	32	-16	48	14.6	19.3	-4.71	15.0	12.5	2.46
Jalen Brunson	77	77	0.87	-0.37	1.24	-0.04	31	-15	46	14.6	20.1	-5.55	15.1	12.1	2.94
Donte DiVincenzo	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-2	20	13.7	18.2	-4.52	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Julius Randle	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	3	10	16.2	13.4	2.79	14.5	14.4	0.12
Josh Hart	48	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	14	-12	17.2	14.1	3.06	14.9	14.1	0.75
Jericho Sims	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.0	15.6	1.37	17.0	14.4	2.56
Ryan Arcidiacono	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.0	15.6	1.37	17.0	14.4	2.56
Miles McBride	19	18	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.07	-15	31	-46	20.1	14.6	5.55	12.1	15.1	-2.94
Quentin Grimes	35	34	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.19	-20	36	-56	17.9	14.4	3.46	13.8	14.9	-1.05
Precious Achiuwa	21	20	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	32	-48	19.3	14.6	4.71	12.5	15.0	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 114, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
PHX 98, SAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
BKN 113, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%