NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	120		Excitement	7.4 [384]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +38.9%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.6 [622]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -13.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.19	0.22	0.03	10	87%	0.42	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.03	22	61%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
James Harden	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.10	-0.04	12	53%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	4	110%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Coffey	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.01	6	75%	0.20	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.11	0.01	11	70%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	13	58%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.01	12	57%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.01	21	48%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	25	44%	0.03	5	-0.16	14	57%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.5	27.6	15.5	28.5	2.3	33.6	139.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +59.0%

LAC +5.1%

LAC +4.8%

DAL -16.9%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	14.5	126.3	118.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.3		116.6	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		113.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	14.4	15.0	16.7	15.1
DAL	16.3	15.6	13.8	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	61	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-7	23	14.3	16.4	-2.07	15.6	15.0	0.56
James Harden	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-1	11	15.7	12.8	2.83	15.6	14.7	0.89
Kawhi Leonard	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	15.4	13.9	1.53	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Terance Mann	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	8	-7	16.7	12.7	4.01	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Russell Westbrook	50	49	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	-6	21	12.6	17.8	-5.20	16.0	14.8	1.18
Amir Coffey	77	76	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	12	-15	15.6	12.7	2.91	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Ivica Zubac	50	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	9	-9	14.7	15.5	-0.77	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Daniel Theis	33	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	10	-11	14.5	15.4	-0.87	15.4	15.4	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	5	4	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-12	15	13.8	15.5	-1.68	12.0	15.2	-3.22
Jaden Hardy	47	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	15.2	15.6	-0.36	14.2	16.0	-1.85
A.J. Lawson	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	15.5	-9.49	0.0	15.1	-15.08
Markieff Morris	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	17.1	15.2	1.89	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Tim Hardaway Jr.	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-10	11	15.7	14.5	1.17	15.3	14.5	0.80
Derrick Jones Jr.	76	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-10	11	15.4	15.4	-0.06	15.4	13.8	1.61
Dante Exum	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	14.8	18.3	-3.52	15.8	11.7	4.08
Luka Doncic	86	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-5	1	15.4	14.9	0.57	15.2	14.0	1.16
Dwight Powell	36	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.07	-17	8	-25	15.7	15.2	0.53	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Grant Williams	61	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.18	-18	9	-27	15.8	14.7	1.12	15.2	14.9	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.36,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	91.1%
SAC 112, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.54,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.03,0.01,0	90.7%
DAL 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	90.5%