NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	144		Excitement	5.8 [639]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +28.7%
Miami Heat	129		Comeback	2.5 [252]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -9.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	9	92%	0.29	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.05	8	111%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.24	0.06	0.06	16	81%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.07	0.02	11	91%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	12	71%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	70%	0.14	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	6	93%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	23	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	80%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Orlando Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	48%	0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	74%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	30.6	15.0	28.5	1.8	29.4	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.1%

MIA -9.3%

MIA -11.6%

IND +6.8%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.6	14.5	145.5	130.3	113.9
season	13.8	14.9		120.0	112.3
opponent	14.8	14.7		111.0	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	13.6	12.1	16.0	13.5
MIA	13.8	15.2	18.4	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	74	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.07	20	-5	25	13.4	13.6	-0.13	16.3	13.5	2.82
Obi Toppin	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	13.3	13.8	-0.46	16.2	14.2	2.02
Buddy Hield	53	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-5	25	12.1	15.1	-3.03	16.4	14.7	1.72
Andrew Nembhard	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	5	5	12.5	14.4	-1.89	16.2	15.1	1.06
Myles Turner	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	5	5	13.8	13.0	0.79	16.0	15.0	0.96
T.J. McConnell	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	10	-5	14.5	12.4	2.16	14.8	16.5	-1.70
Aaron Nesmith	57	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	6	3	13.9	12.8	1.14	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Bennedict Mathurin	52	51	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	19	-23	13.8	13.1	0.76	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Ben Sheppard	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	22	-29	15.4	13.3	2.08	10.6	16.1	-5.44
Isaiah Jackson	19	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	21	-27	13.5	13.5	0.01	13.0	16.2	-3.21

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Cain	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-16	17	15.2	15.7	-0.50	14.5	13.3	1.18
Haywood Highsmith	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-14	13	12.0	15.9	-3.90	10.4	13.7	-3.36
Kevin Love	40	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.60	14.0	13.1	0.83
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	58	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-9	3	15.2	16.2	-0.97	14.3	12.3	2.05
Kyle Lowry	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.8	15.3	0.55	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Caleb Martin	73	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-7	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.19	14.1	11.8	2.34
Josh Richardson	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.13	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Orlando Robinson	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-9	3	16.3	14.7	1.60	13.1	14.0	-0.83
Duncan Robinson	61	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-6	-3	16.2	14.7	1.53	12.9	14.5	-1.62
Jimmy Butler	77	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	2	-19	15.8	15.1	0.69	13.2	14.2	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
BOS 89, BKN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.2%
PHI 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.2%