inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 117 Excitement6.6 [511] MVPFranz Wagner (ORL): +19.7%
Orlando Magic 130 Comeback2.1 [818] LVPJoe Ingles (ORL): -10.5%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Miller0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.020.041174%0.182-0.08580%0.01
Mark Williams0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.01686%0.111-0.022100%0.01
JT Thor0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.031757%0.123-0.07667%-0.01
P.J. Washington0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.011050%0.091-0.04667%-0.03
LaMelo Ball0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00658%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ish Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Theo Maledon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce McGowens-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.04-0.050.051565%0.065-0.12450%-0.02
Gordon Hayward-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.021142%-0.033-0.0620%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.170.050.021577%0.253-0.05967%-0.01
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.170.080.061668%0.252-0.061292%0.03
Jalen Suggs0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.05-0.01967%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Houstan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00286%0.1000.003100%0.00
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01769%0.122-0.062100%0.02
Paolo Banchero0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.040.031855%0.092-0.05650%-0.03
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.01773%0.092-0.051100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0130%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.828.216.829.02.434.5135.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +13.8%
ORL +14.7%
ORL +8.4%
ORL +13.8%
CHA -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAORLNBACHAORLNBA
this game13.114.214.5110.4123.8113.9
season14.815.1108.3111.8
opponent14.414.5109.4118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA12.615.612.212.313.1
ORL15.112.116.613.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Maledon990.01-0.510.52-0.021-141512.613.2-0.6412.614.3-1.76
Bryce McGowens14130.01-0.510.51-0.021-141511.413.4-1.9715.813.91.92
LaMelo Ball3333-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-11914.512.51.9913.214.6-1.34
JT Thor2018-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-9516.412.44.0212.214.6-2.41
Brandon Miller7272-0.15-0.350.19-0.12-1-121113.113.1-0.0114.114.2-0.07
P.J. Washington6262-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-8311.715.2-3.5315.013.01.93
Mark Williams4747-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-2-914.012.41.6213.814.4-0.64
Miles Bridges8383-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-7112.913.9-0.9314.214.00.20
Ish Smith3837-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.00-130-1313.313.00.2713.914.3-0.46
Terry Rozier8080-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-10-3-712.814.3-1.4914.612.91.68
Gordon Hayward7271-0.520.02-0.53-0.08-152-1713.212.90.2914.214.10.15

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cole Anthony69690.490.010.490.0515-21714.114.2-0.0513.312.80.51
Caleb Houstan26270.430.070.37-0.0617-42112.214.8-2.6715.912.23.69
Paolo Banchero81820.410.090.320.1785314.413.21.1812.714.6-1.92
Franz Wagner79790.340.160.190.05103713.815.2-1.3712.913.9-1.00
Jalen Suggs71730.330.170.150.0694513.615.3-1.7212.913.6-0.63
Moritz Wagner38360.200.30-0.100.0849-515.013.71.3113.812.81.05
Gary Harris54530.190.31-0.130.13211-914.713.61.0812.413.9-1.49
Goga Bitadze43450.050.45-0.41-0.01211-914.014.3-0.2713.313.00.26
Joe Ingles32320.030.47-0.430.03013-1315.513.61.9212.513.4-0.96
Anthony Black32340.030.47-0.450.09-215-1714.214.10.0813.513.00.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 98, SAC 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,194.3%
CLE 92, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,193.8%
LAL 76, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%