NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	5.6 [671]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +17.6%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	26.6 [97]		LVP	David Roddy (MEM): -9.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.03	15	70%	0.21	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.00	20	52%	0.18	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.09
Derrick Rose	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	4	82%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.05	0.02	9	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Ziaire Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Jacob Gilyard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.03	15	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.08	-0.05	8	67%	0.19	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	-0.04	0.05	14	71%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	73%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	17	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	35.8	14.6	26.4	1.8	30.0	137.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +13.8%

MEM +12.8%

MEM +15.5%

MEM +3.4%

MEM +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.5	122.4	110.2	113.9
season	14.8	13.9		106.3	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.3		115.2	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	15.7	13.8	18.3	15.2
SAS	13.7	13.8	15.6	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	50	50	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.04	27	-15	42	15.8	14.6	1.18	13.9	14.5	-0.62
David Roddy	54	54	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-4	20	14.6	16.0	-1.36	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Santi Aldama	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-7	26	14.7	16.5	-1.82	14.3	13.9	0.41
Jaren Jackson Jr.	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	16.4	13.7	2.73	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Bismack Biyombo	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	15.8	14.3	1.50	14.4	13.8	0.64
Desmond Bane	68	70	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	7	-2	14.8	16.2	-1.44	14.7	13.0	1.71
Derrick Rose	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	8	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.14	13.2	14.7	-1.53
John Konchar	46	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	19	-26	15.8	14.6	1.21	14.6	13.8	0.84
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	26	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	19	-26	14.2	15.6	-1.38	13.6	14.4	-0.73
Jacob Gilyard	25	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	26	-40	15.7	15.0	0.64	14.0	14.2	-0.25

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	4	5	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-18	24	10.2	14.4	-4.10	23.2	14.8	8.43
Zach Collins	51	52	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-14	16	14.8	13.5	1.33	15.2	15.2	0.02
Malaki Branham	39	38	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-14	16	13.4	14.7	-1.37	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Julian Champagnie	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-18	24	14.7	13.8	0.86	15.9	14.7	1.16
Charles Bassey	10	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-13	14	11.9	14.4	-2.54	11.5	15.6	-4.13
Victor Wembanyama	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-6	0	14.2	14.2	-0.07	16.1	13.5	2.58
Sandro Mamukelashvili	26	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	14.0	14.2	-0.20	12.4	16.1	-3.75
Tre Jones	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	5	-22	13.9	14.4	-0.51	13.9	16.4	-2.52
Keldon Johnson	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	1	-14	14.9	12.6	2.25	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Jeremy Sochan	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-6	0	14.6	13.5	1.04	16.0	13.6	2.38
Doug McDermott	33	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-4	-4	13.7	14.4	-0.73	16.1	14.8	1.29
Cedi Osman	47	48	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.12	-22	10	-32	13.8	14.6	-0.80	15.2	15.2	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.52,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0	92.3%
LAL 105, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0	91.8%
WAS 108, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.2,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	91.6%