NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	8.2 [247]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +19.5%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	3.0 [262]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -15.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.13	0.01	19	55%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Zach LaVine	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	17	51%	0.15	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.05
DeMar DeRozan	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.14	0.02	19	43%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Alex Caruso	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	5	67%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	6	58%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	12	62%	0.19	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	16	49%	0.05	4	-0.17	7	86%	0.04
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.6	14.8	26.2	2.4	44.6	146.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.2%

CHI +4.7%

IND -2.7%

CHI +17.3%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	13.4	14.5	106.7	101.9	113.9
season	14.5	13.8		113.4	120.1
opponent	14.7	15.0		117.5	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	13.3	15.0	13.5	14.2
IND	14.2	15.0	10.7	14.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-8	23	14.1	14.7	-0.68	13.7	12.7	1.04
Alex Caruso	59	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	1	5	13.8	14.8	-0.95	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Zach LaVine	81	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	5	-3	14.0	15.0	-0.92	12.9	15.3	-2.47
Coby White	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	14.3	14.2	0.17	13.3	13.6	-0.35
Nikola Vucevic	78	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	14.3	14.2	0.08	12.7	15.4	-2.64
Andre Drummond	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	0	7	14.2	14.3	-0.08	15.4	12.7	2.64
Jevon Carter	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	14.5	14.1	0.35	14.0	13.1	0.88
Torrey Craig	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	2	3	14.8	13.9	0.89	14.2	12.9	1.34
Ayo Dosunmu	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	9	-11	14.8	14.1	0.64	14.6	13.1	1.43
Patrick Williams	51	49	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.1	0.40	12.6	14.2	-1.61

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	52	54	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.08	9	-16	25	12.3	14.6	-2.24	14.9	13.6	1.24
Jalen Smith	33	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-9	11	12.7	13.8	-1.04	15.2	13.8	1.47
Andrew Nembhard	44	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	13.7	13.2	0.47	13.9	14.5	-0.67
Buddy Hield	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-5	3	13.4	13.5	-0.09	13.2	15.0	-1.76
Tyrese Haliburton	78	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-9	11	12.9	15.2	-2.33	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Bennedict Mathurin	56	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	0	-7	13.7	13.1	0.69	15.2	13.1	2.10
Bruce Brown	80	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	6	-19	13.8	12.2	1.57	14.3	14.1	0.23
Myles Turner	70	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	2	-11	13.8	12.7	1.04	13.8	15.2	-1.47
Aaron Nesmith	58	58	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	8	-23	14.2	12.4	1.84	13.9	14.6	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.22,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.16,0.05,0	93.6%
CHI 88, SEA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0	93.2%
PHX 104, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.45,0.1,0.1,0.05,0	93.1%