NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	8.1 [260]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (TOR): +21.1%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	1.6 [652]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -21.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Troy Brown Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shake Milton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Edwards	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	27	43%	-0.06	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	25	37%	-0.09	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.03	17	61%	0.28	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
O.G. Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	13	71%	0.26	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	17	42%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	16	45%	0.06	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	33.2	14.4	23.6	2.6	26.4	130.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +79.4%

MIN -4.7%

MIN -25.0%

MIN -0.1%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.5	93.1	96.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.0		114.4	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		117.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	13.4	15.2	17.2	14.7
TOR	16.8	12.8	12.5	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	65	64	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.22	15	-18	33	13.4	16.9	-3.50	14.0	13.6	0.45
Troy Brown Jr.	13	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	12.1	15.0	-2.97	14.4	13.8	0.57
Shake Milton	44	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-6	9	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.7	13.2	1.43
Naz Reid	52	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-4	5	14.2	15.1	-0.89	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-2	1	14.9	13.9	1.06	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Anthony Edwards	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.5	15.3	-0.84	14.2	12.3	1.87
Mike Conley	64	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	3	-9	15.5	13.2	2.37	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	48	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	14	-31	15.6	13.8	1.75	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Rudy Gobert	66	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	8	-19	15.2	13.7	1.45	14.2	13.2	0.95

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	14.0	13.5	0.49	15.1	13.9	1.22
Pascal Siakam	71	70	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	14.2	12.9	1.31	14.8	14.3	0.49
O.G. Anunoby	74	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-3	9	12.8	16.7	-3.94	15.2	13.4	1.75
Scottie Barnes	78	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	13.3	15.8	-2.50	14.8	14.0	0.84
Jakob Poeltl	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-5	13	12.5	15.2	-2.63	16.0	13.4	2.57
Gary Trent Jr.	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	0	3	14.7	12.8	1.88	15.0	14.3	0.64
Precious Achiuwa	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.29	-5	8	-13	15.2	12.5	2.63	13.4	16.0	-2.57
Gradey Dick	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	2	-1	14.2	13.8	0.34	11.0	14.9	-3.85
Jalen McDaniels	32	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	6	-9	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.4	14.8	-0.45
Malachi Flynn	21	23	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	17	-31	15.3	13.5	1.87	11.3	15.6	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, NJN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.9%
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.1%
PHX 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,1	92.0%