NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	8.8 [175]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +35.4%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	3.6 [498]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -21.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.35	0.05	0.29	-0.01	10	59%	0.38	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.13	0.01	5	110%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	14	74%	0.29	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.15,0.15	-0.01	0.17	0.01	13	50%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.00	-0.17	0.03	14	47%	-0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	22	39%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	5	92%	0.23	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	16	70%	0.22	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.02	13	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.08	-0.17	-0.01	19	61%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	27.4	14.6	22.5	2.5	30.3	122.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.9%

BOS +4.8%

TOR -5.5%

BOS +7.9%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.5	110.2	105.0	113.9
season	14.7	14.0		121.4	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		117.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	12.1	14.7	15.0	14.4
TOR	15.0	13.6	15.9	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	72	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	14.7	13.6	1.12	14.7	14.6	0.08
Derrick White	70	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.2	0.36	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Jrue Holiday	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.8	14.4	0.41
Kristaps Porzingis	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	1	1	14.9	13.1	1.77	14.2	16.0	-1.85
Jayson Tatum	77	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	7	-11	14.5	14.3	0.13	14.8	14.1	0.66
Payton Pritchard	34	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	-8	19	13.2	15.1	-1.89	15.1	14.4	0.78
Sam Hauser	46	48	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	-5	13	14.2	14.6	-0.42	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Al Horford	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	4	-5	14.1	14.8	-0.72	14.9	14.4	0.46

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-17	31	14.8	14.3	0.52	14.5	14.4	0.10
Pascal Siakam	57	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.61	17	-20	37	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.5	12.8	2.65
Jalen McDaniels	15	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	5	-13	16.0	14.4	1.59	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Gradey Dick	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.13	-10	7	-17	13.7	14.9	-1.24	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Chris Boucher	39	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	7	-17	14.4	14.8	-0.39	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Scottie Barnes	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	0	-3	14.1	15.9	-1.79	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Malachi Flynn	42	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	12	-27	14.2	15.0	-0.79	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Precious Achiuwa	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-1	-1	15.5	13.9	1.61	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Jakob Poeltl	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	14.6	14.7	-0.07	15.0	13.3	1.69
Dennis Schroder	73	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-4	5	14.6	14.9	-0.28	14.5	14.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.1,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.35,0.58,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 114, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.46,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.55,0.26,0	89.3%
ORL 103, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.45,0.58,0	88.9%
LAL 90, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	88.8%