NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	8.9 [156]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +65.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	2.6 [529]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -13.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.43,0.31	0.17	0.14	-0.00	30	63%	0.45	4	-0.14	11	82%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	61%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Miles McBride	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.15,-0.07,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.00	20	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.07
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.46,0.65	0.65	0.14	0.50	-0.01	15	71%	0.74	4	-0.09	12	100%	0.09
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	0.00	8	87%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	7	87%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.21	7	-0.23	13	54%	-0.12
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	15	41%	0.01	1	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	39.6	15.7	27.5	2.7	42.6	157.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +67.0%

MIL +4.5%

NYK -4.8%

NYK -17.9%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.5	104.0	110.0	113.9
season	15.6	14.3		116.8	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	14.5	14.6	12.2	14.2
MIL	14.9	13.2	14.8	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-4	3	12.8	15.1	-2.36	14.9	14.1	0.80
Immanuel Quickley	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-4	3	12.6	15.6	-3.00	14.7	14.2	0.52
Miles McBride	4	3	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	5	-15	25.7	13.7	12.03	11.3	14.6	-3.22
Josh Hart	76	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.2	14.1	0.10	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Jalen Brunson	87	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-7	9	14.3	13.8	0.48	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Quentin Grimes	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	14.3	13.9	0.38	14.5	14.3	0.28
Donte DiVincenzo	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	5	-15	13.4	14.7	-1.33	14.7	14.3	0.42
Mitchell Robinson	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	15.3	12.6	2.67	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Julius Randle	83	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	14.6	12.2	2.47	14.3	14.9	-0.56

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-8	21	14.2	15.1	-0.85	15.2	11.1	4.09
Damian Lillard	76	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.34	2	3	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.27	14.3	14.0	0.31
Brook Lopez	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	4	-3	14.5	14.2	0.35	14.3	14.0	0.21
Jae Crowder	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	14.7	14.2	0.46	12.6	15.8	-3.20
Khris Middleton	42	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	7	-9	14.4	14.5	-0.18	16.0	12.9	3.13
MarJon Beauchamp	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	14.6	14.4	0.18	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Malik Beasley	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	-1	7	13.9	14.9	-1.03	15.9	12.7	3.25
Cameron Payne	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	2	1	14.7	14.4	0.27	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Bobby Portis	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	14.7	14.3	0.39	12.9	14.9	-2.05
Pat Connaughton	51	52	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	9	-13	14.8	14.1	0.66	12.2	16.3	-4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	91.8%
MIA 80, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.86,0.85,1	91.2%
DEN 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.74,1	91.2%