NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	137		Excitement	11.3 [37]		MVP	Christian Wood (DAL): +32.3%
San Antonio Spurs	128		Comeback	16.4 [147]		LVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): -15.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.08	0.25	-0.00	17	62%	0.45	4	-0.13	11	91%	0.13
Dwight Powell	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.11	0.01	8	96%	0.32	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.10	0.05	11	83%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.23,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.01	0.25	0.04	17	50%	0.28	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.09
Davis Bertans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
McKinley Wright IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	85%	0.12	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.03	-0.06	8	68%	0.19	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	65%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,-0.01,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.13	-0.00	25	48%	0.32	2	-0.19	6	33%	-0.27
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	13	38%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.07	0.01	12	77%	0.23	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.03
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	25.5	14.8	27.6	2.3	42.3	2.8	11.3	156.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +0.0%

DAL +67.8%

SAS -5.8%

SAS -2.7%

SAS -9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.4	123.4	115.3	113.4
season	15.2	14.0		115.5	109.2
opponent	14.1	14.3		119.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	11.9	12.7	14.8	12.8	17.9	13.4
SAS	15.6	15.0	15.2	15.5	13.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	78	78	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.25	21	-12	33	13.8	12.5	1.32	15.4	14.8	0.60
Josh Green	95	97	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-8	25	13.1	15.6	-2.55	15.3	14.5	0.81
Reggie Bullock	95	94	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-2	13	13.7	11.7	1.98	15.5	13.8	1.63
Christian Wood	61	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	4	1	14.2	12.5	1.64	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Maxi Kleber	55	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	4	1	12.9	13.9	-0.98	15.9	14.4	1.51
JaVale McGee	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	7	-5	11.1	13.6	-2.50	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Davis Bertans	25	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	7	-5	14.2	13.2	0.93	15.4	15.1	0.29
Dwight Powell	61	60	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.21	7	2	5	13.4	13.5	-0.11	15.7	14.6	1.11
Justin Holiday	28	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	21	-33	12.2	13.8	-1.59	13.2	15.9	-2.71
McKinley Wright IV	51	49	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.06	-15	24	-39	12.9	13.9	-1.07	14.4	15.8	-1.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	44	46	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.06	10	-19	29	14.2	15.9	-1.74	13.8	13.2	0.55
Blake Wesley	49	49	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.09	9	-18	27	14.4	15.9	-1.47	13.5	13.4	0.16
Gorgui Dieng	32	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.14	-2	-7	5	16.1	14.9	1.20	14.8	12.9	1.94
Doug McDermott	42	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-6	3	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.6	12.8	1.85
Romeo Langford	42	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	2	-13	17.5	13.8	3.77	15.0	12.6	2.40
Malaki Branham	64	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-12	15	13.6	17.4	-3.85	12.7	14.6	-1.94
Keldon Johnson	76	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	-2	-5	15.4	14.7	0.68	12.4	15.8	-3.34
Sandro Mamukelashvili	68	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	6	-21	15.7	14.4	1.36	13.7	13.0	0.66
Devonte' Graham	71	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.40	-10	1	-11	14.9	15.7	-0.81	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Tre Jones	67	66	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.29	-19	10	-29	15.9	14.2	1.74	13.2	13.8	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.6,0.76,0.93,0.91,0.79,0.83,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.01,0	90.2%
UTA 103, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	89.1%
LAL 111, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.09,0	88.8%