NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	121		Excitement	1.5 [806]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): +30.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	110		Comeback	2.6 [421]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -11.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.24	0.12	0.05	29	66%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	5	83%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	19	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Trey Murphy III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	45%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	125%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.01	22	68%	0.44	4	-0.16	16	94%	0.07
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	14	74%	0.19	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.06
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	26.4	14.7	31.1	2.7	28.0	133.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +34.7%

POR -19.6%

NOP +9.6%

NOP +25.9%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.4	126.0	118.3	113.4
season	14.2	14.7		113.4	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.6		117.3	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	14.8	14.5	16.6	14.7
POR	12.5	17.3	16.1	18.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	52	49	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.10	24	-13	37	14.7	14.6	0.04	17.9	13.6	4.27
Trey Murphy III	65	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-5	21	14.1	15.9	-1.79	16.6	14.4	2.14
CJ McCollum	68	67	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	7	-3	15.6	12.4	3.25	16.4	14.4	1.96
Herbert Jones	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	4	3	16.2	12.7	3.51	15.8	15.8	0.02
Dyson Daniels	20	18	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	13.0	15.1	-2.09	19.6	14.9	4.61
Kira Lewis Jr.	27	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	2	7	12.8	15.4	-2.61	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Brandon Ingram	77	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	15.1	13.0	2.06	14.9	19.6	-4.61
Jaxson Hayes	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	11.9	16.1	-4.20	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Willy Hernangomez	41	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	16	-21	16.0	13.6	2.43	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Josh Richardson	43	43	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	27	-43	14.1	15.1	-0.98	13.7	17.7	-3.94

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Johnson	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-11	11	17.5	15.8	1.70	9.0	14.7	-5.72
Anfernee Simons	40	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-7	3	15.2	16.3	-1.08	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Shaedon Sharpe	31	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	14.1	16.7	-2.61	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Damian Lillard	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-13	15	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.6	11.0	4.56
Matisse Thybulle	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-15	19	15.4	17.5	-2.12	15.8	10.9	4.86
Drew Eubanks	35	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-2	-7	15.5	16.1	-0.57	14.9	14.5	0.43
Trendon Watford	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-9	7	16.1	15.5	0.57	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Jerami Grant	69	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	16.5	13.9	2.59	15.4	12.3	3.15
Nassir Little	30	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	4	-19	17.9	14.9	3.04	15.2	14.4	0.80
Cam Reddish	51	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.06	-21	10	-31	16.2	15.4	0.75	12.4	17.3	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	94.1%
HOU 112, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0	93.8%
LAL 106, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0,0	93.4%