NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	120		Excitement	5.2 [852]		MVP	Ty Jerome (GSW): +20.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	1.4 [214]		LVP	Raul Neto (CLE): -3.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	-0.00	13	81%	0.22	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	23	59%	0.16	5	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Lamb	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.02	12	61%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	16	61%	0.12	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	25	53%	0.08	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.03
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.9	15.4	29.5	2.3	31.6	132.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.6%

CLE -9.8%

GSW +17.4%

GSW +5.0%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.4	121.2	117.5	113.4
season	13.9	15.1		114.1	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.1		109.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	14.2	15.3	15.9	14.8
CLE	17.3	14.7	13.5	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	65	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	15.5	13.6	1.86	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Jordan Poole	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	15.1	13.4	1.75	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Donte DiVincenzo	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-6	18	14.1	17.1	-3.00	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Ty Jerome	85	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	3	0	15.0	13.8	1.23	14.4	15.5	-1.17
Jonathan Kuminga	55	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-2	10	14.5	15.3	-0.86	14.1	15.3	-1.23
Anthony Lamb	52	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	6	-6	15.0	14.7	0.34	14.7	14.4	0.30
Moses Moody	28	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	15.0	14.8	0.18	16.4	13.9	2.56
JaMychal Green	34	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	10	-14	13.6	15.5	-1.86	14.9	14.3	0.59
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	19	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	12	-18	16.3	14.5	1.76	15.4	14.4	0.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	13.0	15.4	-2.41	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Raul Neto	33	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-10	14	14.6	14.5	0.09	15.8	14.3	1.50
Cedi Osman	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-8	10	16.0	13.2	2.80	15.0	14.7	0.28
Kevin Love	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-5	4	16.4	13.3	3.13	15.9	14.1	1.75
Caris LeVert	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	13.9	15.8	-1.84	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Evan Mobley	72	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-6	6	14.2	15.4	-1.20	15.4	13.2	2.21
Darius Garland	83	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-6	6	13.9	18.3	-4.37	15.1	13.5	1.62
Isaac Okoro	44	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	13	-32	15.6	13.7	1.91	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Jarrett Allen	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	7	-20	14.3	15.2	-0.90	14.0	16.7	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 127, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAC 116, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
HOU 117, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%