NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	136		Excitement	8.9 [190]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +37.6%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	12.1 [66]		LVP	David Duke Jr. (BKN): -19.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38	0.19	0.20	0.02	20	72%	0.43	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.01	20	57%	0.27	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	13	65%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Edmond Sumner	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	13	64%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Yuta Watanabe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Alondes Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
David Duke Jr.	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	4	-0.14	4	25%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.29	0.05	0.07	15	103%	0.39	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	7	74%	0.27	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	11	59%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.06
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	4	120%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	11	74%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.2	27.4	14.7	25.5	2.6	48.4	149.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -14.0%

IND -0.8%

BKN +64.9%

IND -1.4%

BKN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	12.8	14.4	130.8	126.7	113.4
season	14.4	13.7		113.7	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.8		116.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.6	15.2	15.6	14.6	14.7
IND	12.6	11.5	13.2	14.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	70	70	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-7	17	14.5	15.3	-0.81	12.8	13.0	-0.19
Yuta Watanabe	47	48	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.63	4	-1	5	14.2	15.1	-0.93	12.4	13.3	-0.91
Patty Mills	76	76	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-5	13	14.1	16.3	-2.19	12.4	14.0	-1.64
Day'Ron Sharpe	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	15.0	14.1	0.90	13.0	12.5	0.50
Cam Thomas	63	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.57	-8	11	-19	15.0	14.4	0.59	12.5	13.4	-0.85
David Duke Jr.	51	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	1	1	15.5	14.0	1.43	13.6	12.1	1.52
Alondes Williams	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	16.5	14.5	2.01	12.5	12.9	-0.44
Kessler Edwards	73	75	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.23	4	-1	5	14.7	14.8	-0.17	13.4	11.4	2.03
Edmond Sumner	58	59	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	7	-11	14.7	14.8	-0.11	12.7	13.0	-0.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	52	50	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-9	15	12.3	13.4	-1.07	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Aaron Nesmith	35	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-8	13	11.3	13.6	-2.26	14.6	14.8	-0.11
Jalen Smith	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	5	-13	13.9	12.4	1.45	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Isaiah Jackson	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-2	1	12.5	13.0	-0.49	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Bennedict Mathurin	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.50	12	-15	27	11.5	14.8	-3.33	14.4	15.2	-0.87
Oshae Brissett	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-2	1	14.1	12.1	1.97	16.2	13.8	2.39
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	0	-3	13.2	11.7	1.54	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Myles Turner	62	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	4	-11	13.2	12.4	0.77	14.8	14.5	0.30
Andrew Nembhard	69	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.44	-5	2	-7	12.9	12.7	0.15	15.0	14.2	0.83
Buddy Hield	72	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	10	-23	13.5	11.5	1.94	14.8	14.6	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.61,0.55,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	91.8%
SAS 74, CLE 68	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	90.7%
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	90.5%