NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	133		Excitement	2.6 [1248]		MVP	Shake Milton (PHI): +11.8%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.7 [536]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -4.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shake Milton	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.25	0.01	0.14	13	91%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	14	81%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.03	0.11	7	100%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.10	8	73%	0.04	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	100%	0.06	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	63%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.09	8	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	17	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	3	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.01	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.2	23.7	14.7	33.2	2.5	24.3	127.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.3%

PHI +1.6%

PHI +1.1%

PHI +6.0%

ORL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	14.4	135.7	105.1	113.4
season	15.2	14.3		115.9	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.0	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	14.3	14.3	15.5	14.5
ORL	12.1	19.3	13.3	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	75	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	4	22	14.7	14.0	0.75	15.5	12.7	2.81
Paul Reed	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.40	28	2	26	13.5	16.2	-2.66	16.0	13.0	2.94
Tobias Harris	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.23	20	10	10	15.4	13.2	2.16	14.9	14.8	0.02
P.J. Tucker	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.10	13	17	-4	16.4	13.8	2.63	15.9	14.4	1.43
De'Anthony Melton	61	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	16	-2	15.2	13.4	1.81	14.3	15.7	-1.31
Danuel House Jr.	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	14	2	13.7	15.7	-2.00	14.5	15.3	-0.88
Furkan Korkmaz	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.28	16	14	2	13.6	15.6	-1.94	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Georges Niang	43	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	20	-10	12.6	16.1	-3.47	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Montrezl Harrell	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	28	-26	16.2	13.5	2.66	13.0	16.0	-2.94
Saben Lee	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	13.4	14.6	-1.19	18.3	14.6	3.69
Julian Champagnie	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	17.7	14.2	3.45	18.5	14.5	3.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	64	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.25	-14	-16	2	13.7	17.0	-3.28	14.7	14.1	0.65
Admiral Schofield	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-17	4	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.1	14.9	-0.72
R.J. Hampton	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.38	-20	-10	-10	14.3	15.6	-1.29	13.6	15.8	-2.28
Moritz Wagner	53	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.20	-14	-16	2	15.5	14.2	1.30	13.9	15.3	-1.36
Terrence Ross	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-19	8	14.3	15.0	-0.70	10.9	15.5	-4.61
Gary Harris	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-23	16	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.2	13.5	1.70
Bol Bol	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.29	-19	-11	-8	15.7	13.4	2.22	15.5	12.9	2.64
Mo Bamba	23	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-17	4	15.2	14.7	0.47	16.0	14.1	1.84
Franz Wagner	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-15	0	14.7	15.0	-0.35	15.7	13.2	2.54
Caleb Houstan	54	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	-6	-18	15.5	14.1	1.43	14.0	15.1	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 127, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
CHA 110, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAS 129, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%