NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	10.2 [69]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +47.2%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	7.0 [345]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -20.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.39	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.47,0.66,0.39	0.17	0.21	-0.01	17	72%	0.43	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
R.J. Hampton	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.00	8	70%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bol Bol	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.01	15	65%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mo Bamba	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	14	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Chuma Okeke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	12	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	12	50%	-0.04	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.47	0.47	0.14	0.34	0.01	10	79%	0.49	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.14
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	13	67%	0.20	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	16	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.07	0.00	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.6	14.8	26.4	2.4	31.5	130.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +7.9%

IND +22.2%

IND +25.4%

ORL -5.2%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.4	115.3	117.5	113.4
season	14.3	13.7		111.0	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		116.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	14.7	15.3	15.5	15.1
IND	13.4	13.0	13.5	18.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Harris	6	7	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-5	9	13.8	15.1	-1.30	23.0	13.8	9.18
Mo Bamba	68	66	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.39	18	-19	37	15.2	14.8	0.41	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Caleb Houstan	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.86	16.6	13.2	3.43
Terrence Ross	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-2	3	14.6	15.5	-0.92	13.8	15.2	-1.33
Chuma Okeke	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	6	-13	15.8	14.2	1.65	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Jalen Suggs	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.38	3	-4	7	15.6	14.0	1.58	14.4	14.7	-0.28
R.J. Hampton	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-2	3	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.5	13.4	2.12
Bol Bol	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.61	3	-4	7	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.0	15.7	-1.77
Franz Wagner	63	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	3	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.7	14.1	0.67
Admiral Schofield	29	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.03	-20	19	-39	14.9	15.1	-0.17	12.1	15.5	-3.35

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	51	53	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.36	17	-16	33	14.4	14.6	-0.28	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Myles Turner	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	15.0	13.2	1.82	15.1	15.0	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.48	-6	7	-13	14.8	14.1	0.62	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Terry Taylor	12	12	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-7	15	12.0	14.8	-2.84	14.7	15.1	-0.34
T.J. McConnell	30	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	4	-7	15.1	14.2	0.94	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Buddy Hield	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-6	13	15.0	13.7	1.27	16.0	13.6	2.41
Tyrese Haliburton	67	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-3	7	14.2	15.1	-0.94	15.6	13.7	1.93
Jalen Smith	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	-1	3	14.7	14.3	0.40	15.1	15.0	0.14
Andrew Nembhard	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.44	-16	17	-33	13.7	15.0	-1.36	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Isaiah Jackson	15	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	6	-11	12.1	14.9	-2.78	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Oshae Brissett	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.11	-6	7	-13	14.8	14.3	0.51	14.9	15.2	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.69,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.47,0.39,0.75,0.72,0.17,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	89.3%
MIN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	89.2%
TOR 92, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.23,0.16,1	88.9%