NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	122		Excitement	11.8 [23]		MVP	AJ Griffin (ATL): +63.3%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	31.1 [86]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -27.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.4	0.11	0.28	-0.01	12	75%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	12	71%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.G. Anunoby	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	24	49%	0.20	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.24
Christian Koloko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Juancho Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	18	36%	-0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Scottie Barnes	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.05,-0.18,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.00	29	47%	-0.13	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.24,0.63	0.63	0.07	0.56	-0.00	15	57%	0.63	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.22	-0.00	21	65%	0.39	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.06
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.00	14	52%	0.16	3	-0.08	14	79%	-0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	69%	0.08	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	18	45%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	26.4	17.3	31.5	1.8	33.4	2.0	17.9	158.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +81.4%

TOR -24.8%

TOR -21.7%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	12.6	14.4	108.9	107.8	113.4
season	14.7	13.8		114.0	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.5	14.5	17.4	16.3	13.4	15.4
ATL	11.3	12.1	12.6	13.2	16.6	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	9	9	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-11	20	11.6	15.7	-4.19	13.0	12.6	0.39
Juancho Hernangomez	70	71	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-2	2	15.6	15.1	0.43	12.2	13.4	-1.17
Khem Birch	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-3	4	15.4	15.4	0.04	12.0	12.7	-0.69
Malachi Flynn	59	62	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-11	20	15.0	15.9	-0.87	12.5	12.9	-0.42
Thaddeus Young	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	4	-10	15.6	15.1	0.53	12.6	12.7	-0.09
Christian Koloko	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-7	12	15.2	15.7	-0.49	13.2	12.0	1.16
Fred VanVleet	81	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	12	-26	16.6	12.2	4.40	12.2	13.9	-1.77
Scottie Barnes	96	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.2	16.4	-1.12	12.9	11.0	1.91
O.G. Anunoby	89	93	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.51	-11	9	-20	15.2	16.1	-0.85	12.5	13.1	-0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	88	86	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.51	13	-11	24	12.5	13.0	-0.42	15.7	14.6	1.04
Trae Young	88	87	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.55	11	-9	20	13.1	11.3	1.81	15.7	14.6	1.10
Clint Capela	75	71	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.50	10	-8	18	12.4	13.0	-0.58	15.5	15.2	0.34
De'Andre Hunter	95	94	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	12.7	12.4	0.29	16.0	12.2	3.80
AJ Griffin	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.54	-6	8	-14	12.8	12.4	0.45	15.1	15.8	-0.65
John Collins	74	71	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.24	10	-8	18	12.7	12.5	0.28	15.7	15.0	0.72
Jalen Johnson	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	10	-18	12.2	12.7	-0.55	12.2	15.8	-3.68
Aaron Holiday	21	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.07	-9	11	-20	11.0	13.0	-2.07	12.7	16.0	-3.28
Onyeka Okongwu	40	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.06	-8	10	-18	13.0	12.4	0.58	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Justin Holiday	17	15	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.16	-6	8	-14	11.9	12.8	-0.82	15.0	15.5	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	89.9%
SAC 104, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.73,1	89.7%
UTA 97, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.85,0.98,1	89.5%