NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	10.4 [60]		MVP	Moses Moody (GSW): +19.6%
Charlotte Hornets	120		Comeback	11.1 [90]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (CHA): -9.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moses Moody	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.13	-0.01	6	67%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	22	60%	0.17	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Jordan Poole	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	20	60%	0.15	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	13	38%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.18	3	-0.18	2	0%	-0.11
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	14	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.17	-0.01	10	54%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.17	0.00	10	55%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	18	47%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.07	0.03	23	62%	0.19	1	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	27.4	15.3	24.7	2.5	31.3	2.5	16.3	145.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -12.2%

CHA +25.4%

CHA +26.6%

CHA +1.7%

CHA +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	14.4	105.6	111.1	113.4
season	13.9	14.0		114.1	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		114.4	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	15.0	15.0	12.4	16.0	12.1	14.4
CHA	13.8	14.4	17.0	15.3	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.12	0	-7	7	13.2	14.8	-1.63	16.0	14.9	1.04
JaMychal Green	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-12	17	15.7	13.8	1.91	16.5	14.6	1.90
Jonathan Kuminga	7	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-7	7	15.3	14.3	0.97	12.4	15.3	-2.93
Ty Jerome	31	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-11	15	15.9	13.8	2.14	15.4	15.1	0.30
James Wiseman	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-2	-3	18.6	14.0	4.56	11.9	15.5	-3.61
Jordan Poole	72	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-9	11	14.5	14.2	0.23	15.4	14.7	0.76
Kevon Looney	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	14.6	14.2	0.38	15.9	14.5	1.46
Andrew Wiggins	83	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.1	15.5	-1.44	15.3	15.0	0.30
Stephen Curry	78	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.1	15.1	-1.04	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Draymond Green	72	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.32	-13	6	-19	14.0	15.2	-1.17	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Klay Thompson	67	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	9	-25	13.8	15.3	-1.54	14.5	16.4	-1.87

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Smith Jr.	79	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	14.8	16.3	-1.53	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Gordon Hayward	74	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-2	11	14.9	15.9	-1.09	13.8	15.6	-1.85
Jalen McDaniels	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	8	-9	15.7	14.5	1.25	15.0	13.5	1.54
P.J. Washington	86	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	5	-3	14.8	16.7	-1.87	13.7	16.8	-3.11
JT Thor	14	16	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-1	9	16.6	15.0	1.58	17.5	13.8	3.66
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	4	-1	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.7	12.3	3.39
Nick Richards	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	10	-13	16.1	14.7	1.43	15.6	13.7	1.94
Mason Plumlee	49	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	1	5	14.6	15.7	-1.07	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Theo Maledon	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	16.3	14.8	1.53	15.8	13.8	2.02
James Bouknight	31	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	10	-13	14.2	15.6	-1.45	12.3	15.3	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.67,0.85,0.71,0.22,0.08,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.92,1	87.6%
OKC 89, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,1	86.9%
HOU 116, CHI 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.21,0.33,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.45,0.73,1	86.3%