NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	7.2 [493]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	124		Comeback	3.2 [472]		LVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): -13.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	19	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.03	0.05	16	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.05	0.05	16	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Jaden Ivey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	13	53%	0.06	5	-0.15	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Stewart	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	18	71%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	6	47%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	16	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	16	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	14	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.5	29.2	14.5	27.8	2.0	40.7	145.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.3%

IND +1.7%

IND +5.7%

IND +13.0%

DET -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	13.3	14.4	111.7	118.1	113.4
season	14.6	13.7		109.6	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		116.4	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	15.3	14.8	13.3	14.4
IND	14.2	11.5	11.5	16.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamidou Diallo	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-1	-7	15.3	14.3	1.05	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Saddiq Bey	78	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-14	19	14.5	14.0	0.51	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Isaiah Stewart	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	14.3	14.6	-0.32	13.0	13.8	-0.74
Cade Cunningham	73	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-13	17	13.8	15.9	-2.18	12.7	14.8	-2.13
Cory Joseph	30	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	14.9	14.2	0.67	15.9	12.1	3.83
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	14.2	14.9	-0.67	12.2	15.9	-3.68
Killian Hayes	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	15.8	13.7	2.14	16.0	12.0	4.02
Jalen Duren	37	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	14.6	14.3	0.32	13.8	13.0	0.74
Jaden Ivey	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.0	15.6	-1.65	12.0	17.0	-4.96
Isaiah Livers	33	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	3	-15	14.6	14.3	0.32	15.2	12.4	2.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Taylor	42	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-1	11	15.5	11.9	3.64	14.4	14.4	0.06
Chris Duarte	45	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-4	17	15.0	12.0	3.03	14.9	14.0	0.87
Goga Bitadze	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	1	7	14.6	12.0	2.58	14.4	14.4	0.07
Bennedict Mathurin	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	9	-9	13.3	13.3	0.06	14.2	14.7	-0.57
T.J. McConnell	25	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	3	3	16.8	12.2	4.52	15.4	14.1	1.34
Tyrese Haliburton	72	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	12.2	15.7	-3.43	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Isaiah Jackson	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	6	-3	12.3	14.2	-1.85	15.1	13.8	1.24
Andrew Nembhard	23	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	1	7	13.6	13.2	0.38	12.2	14.9	-2.70
Buddy Hield	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	9	-9	10.8	14.8	-3.93	14.6	14.3	0.28
Aaron Nesmith	50	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	12	-15	13.0	13.6	-0.68	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Jalen Smith	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	10	-11	11.9	15.5	-3.64	14.4	14.4	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%
NYK 103, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
DET 80, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.2%