NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	8.7 [212]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (MIL): +41.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	3.9 [315]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -44.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.42	0.05	0.36	-0.00	6	67%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.01	16	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.18
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	3	83%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	10	48%	-0.05	3	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	0.05	-0.21	0.05	16	50%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.25,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	15	19%	-0.19	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.11	0.01	3	62%	0.18	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.08
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.15,-0.08	-0.08	0.10	-0.17	0.02	24	60%	0.02	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.44	-0.44	-0.16	-0.28	0.01	21	33%	-0.30	4	-0.14	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.0	24.3	16.3	27.6	3.3	39.6	139.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.9%

PHI -30.9%

MIL +45.0%

PHI -4.4%

MIL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.4	94.7	92.6	113.4
season	14.0	15.2		113.8	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.3	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	15.2	13.4	16.0	14.7
PHI	17.1	15.5	15.4	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	68	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.46	13	-11	24	14.4	15.4	-1.01	16.6	13.2	3.37
Wesley Matthews	38	39	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	14.7	14.7	-0.00	16.2	15.3	0.89
Grayson Allen	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	3	-4	14.9	14.1	0.79	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Brook Lopez	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	2	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.8	15.4	0.36
Jrue Holiday	71	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	8	-14	15.2	13.2	1.97	15.8	15.3	0.48
George Hill	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	-1	4	15.2	14.3	0.85	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Jordan Nwora	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.9	-0.61	15.6	15.6	0.02
Bobby Portis	47	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	4	-6	14.8	14.6	0.20	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Jevon Carter	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	-1	4	13.9	15.4	-1.55	15.8	15.5	0.36
Serge Ibaka	8	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.7	-0.06	14.2	15.8	-1.56

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	40	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	14.2	16.6	-2.39	14.5	14.8	-0.33
James Harden	79	80	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-7	12	15.8	14.9	0.83	15.3	11.6	3.66
Paul Reed	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	18.6	15.3	3.23	16.6	14.5	2.07
Georges Niang	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.6	15.6	0.02	15.8	14.5	1.36
Montrezl Harrell	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	15.6	15.6	-0.03	19.0	14.4	4.56
Tobias Harris	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-4	6	15.6	15.8	-0.22	14.8	14.4	0.39
Danuel House Jr.	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-5	8	14.8	16.3	-1.45	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Matisse Thybulle	2	2	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.29	-3	1	-4	13.0	15.7	-2.69	2.5	14.9	-12.45
Tyrese Maxey	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	5	-12	15.9	14.9	1.05	14.2	16.0	-1.84
P.J. Tucker	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.2	0.59	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Joel Embiid	70	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.48	-10	8	-18	16.1	14.4	1.73	14.5	15.3	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.41,0	92.2%
WAS 83, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0	90.7%
PHX 94, NOP 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.17,0	90.2%