NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	8.7 [172]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (NOP): +35.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	4.3 [338]		LVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): -8.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.36,0.36	0.10	0.25	-0.01	10	68%	0.40	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.22	0.10	0.15	0.03	23	64%	0.34	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.06
Brandon Ingram	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	67%	0.35	5	-0.21	9	100%	0.08
Herbert Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jose Alvarado	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Naji Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	5	100%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	23	66%	0.33	6	-0.19	12	75%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	15	40%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.06
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	24.9	12.8	36.4	2.8	37.2	143.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +21.3%

NOP +25.4%

NOP +0.4%

NOP +2.9%

NOP +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAL	NBA	NOP	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.4	14.5	111.8	106.7	110.8
season	14.7	14.3		110.9	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.9	15.4	13.7	14.2	14.5
LAL	14.5	11.3	13.0	15.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Murphy III	30	30	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-8	19	14.4	14.6	-0.15	12.3	13.9	-1.64
CJ McCollum	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	14.1	17.5	-3.35	13.6	12.3	1.28
Herbert Jones	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.52	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.06	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Brandon Ingram	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	4	-5	14.2	15.5	-1.28	13.6	13.0	0.60
Jonas Valanciunas	83	83	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	2	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.86	13.6	13.0	0.60
Jose Alvarado	15	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-2	7	14.5	14.6	-0.09	14.6	13.2	1.38
Naji Marshall	29	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	15.3	14.2	1.03	12.5	13.8	-1.35
Larry Nance Jr.	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	2	-1	15.7	14.0	1.64	14.1	13.1	0.92
Devonte' Graham	29	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	3	-3	15.9	14.0	1.94	13.2	13.5	-0.34
Jaxson Hayes	51	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	8	-13	14.5	14.5	0.02	13.5	13.3	0.23

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	35	33	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-5	7	13.5	13.4	0.12	15.8	13.9	1.89
Stanley Johnson	49	48	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-1	-1	13.0	13.8	-0.74	14.5	14.5	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.6	13.4	0.13	17.1	14.3	2.81
Dwight Howard	51	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	3	-9	13.2	13.6	-0.43	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Malik Monk	71	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-9	15	13.5	13.2	0.28	15.2	13.1	2.19
Anthony Davis	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-7	11	13.6	13.0	0.53	14.6	14.4	0.19
LeBron James	89	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-1	-1	13.1	15.5	-2.38	13.9	18.3	-4.37
Avery Bradley	73	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	0	-3	13.5	13.2	0.34	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Russell Westbrook	65	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.34	-12	9	-21	13.9	12.6	1.35	14.8	14.1	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	92.4%
SAS 94, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.33,0.02,0	92.0%
HOU 113, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.34,0.27,0	91.4%