NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	1.8 [1308]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +17.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	133		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Ziaire Williams (MEM): -5.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Taylor	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	52%	0.03	1	0.01	11	73%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keifer Sykes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	8	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.18	0.00	0.23	15	83%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.29	0.01	0.12	15	97%	0.18	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	68%	0.09	3	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	71%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	5	110%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.13	0.00	0.13	10	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	9	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	27.2	14.5	26.6	2.4	25.8	121.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +48.4%

IND -3.7%

MEM +5.7%

IND -1.8%

MEM +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.5	104.0	134.3	110.8
season	14.4	14.1		111.4	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.7		107.8	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	14.9	13.2	14.8	14.0
MEM	14.7	14.5	16.8	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keifer Sykes	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.17	-8	-22	14	14.1	13.9	0.25	15.6	14.8	0.82
Lance Stephenson	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-27	24	14.5	13.5	1.05	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Terry Taylor	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-19	8	13.7	14.4	-0.72	15.5	14.5	0.91
Duane Washington Jr.	42	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-19	8	13.2	14.5	-1.33	17.3	13.6	3.76
Buddy Hield	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-20	10	13.7	14.4	-0.70	14.3	16.2	-1.85
Oshae Brissett	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-13	-4	14.2	13.3	0.92	14.3	17.1	-2.80
Justin Anderson	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	-3	-24	14.5	12.9	1.54	13.8	18.1	-4.29
Tyrese Haliburton	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.52	-33	3	-36	13.8	14.2	-0.45	15.3	14.8	0.53
Goga Bitadze	60	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.42	-30	0	-30	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.1	13.8	2.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	48	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.69	40	-10	50	15.2	15.1	0.11	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Tyus Jones	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	5	20	15.3	14.9	0.33	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Steven Adams	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	5	20	15.3	14.9	0.35	13.2	14.7	-1.42
Kyle Anderson	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	15	0	16.6	13.9	2.65	14.4	13.6	0.81
Ziaire Williams	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	12	6	13.8	17.8	-4.02	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Jaren Jackson Jr.	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	12	6	14.8	15.3	-0.44	13.6	14.2	-0.58
John Konchar	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.06	4	26	-22	15.4	14.8	0.58	14.7	13.2	1.42
Xavier Tillman	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	26	-22	14.9	15.3	-0.46	14.4	13.5	0.89
De'Anthony Melton	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	23	-16	17.2	13.6	3.65	12.9	14.8	-1.83
Santi Aldama	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	33	-36	13.8	15.9	-2.14	15.5	13.0	2.51
Jarrett Culver	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	33	-36	13.7	15.5	-1.71	14.8	13.8	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 65, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
OKC 82, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
BOS 85, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%