NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	128		Excitement	12.8 [14]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +60.2%
Toronto Raptors	123		Comeback	70.4 [21]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (LAL): -21.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.46	0.08	0.39	0.00	8	78%	0.51	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.31,0.64,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.00	26	61%	0.59	3	-0.22	7	57%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.02	0.26	0.02	18	58%	0.38	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.05	0.02	8	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	10	45%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Malik Monk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	64%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	9	22%	-0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0.23,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.6	0.60	0.10	0.50	-0.01	17	61%	0.63	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.20	0.01	21	70%	0.54	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.11
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	13	64%	0.08	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	0.03	-0.19	0.01	19	50%	-0.12	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	24.9	14.0	27.2	2.6	29.8	2.8	12.5	144.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.5%

LAL +7.1%

LAL +5.8%

TOR -7.1%

LAL +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.5	125.5	120.6	110.8
season	14.3	14.9		109.5	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.2		109.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	17.3	14.1	16.1	17.5	14.6	16.0
TOR	14.7	15.2	15.2	15.3	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	53	52	1.18	-0.68	1.86	0.65	18	-13	31	15.0	17.2	-2.14	15.3	14.9	0.45
Wenyen Gabriel	51	49	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.89	4	1	3	15.9	16.2	-0.25	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Avery Bradley	48	48	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	16.1	16.0	0.18	15.3	14.9	0.39
Russell Westbrook	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-2	9	15.7	17.3	-1.56	15.0	15.8	-0.84
LeBron James	86	87	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	10	-15	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.2	14.5	0.77
D.J. Augustin	34	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-1	7	16.6	15.8	0.81	15.2	15.1	0.04
Dwight Howard	45	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	17.3	15.1	2.22	15.4	14.9	0.54
Stanley Johnson	56	58	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.47	6	-1	7	15.5	16.7	-1.18	15.2	15.0	0.26
Malik Monk	56	58	-0.87	1.37	-2.24	-0.40	-16	21	-37	16.7	15.3	1.40	15.1	15.2	-0.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	33	31	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-12	19	14.8	15.3	-0.46	16.7	15.8	0.95
Thaddeus Young	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-1	-3	16.5	14.7	1.85	16.4	15.9	0.43
Dalano Banton	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.1	0.42	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Scottie Barnes	84	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-10	15	15.0	15.9	-0.99	15.7	17.5	-1.87
Gary Trent Jr.	81	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.6	-1.88	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Chris Boucher	27	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	5	-15	16.6	14.6	1.99	17.1	15.6	1.49
Pascal Siakam	91	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	14.8	18.2	-3.42	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Fred VanVleet	89	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.0	0.15	16.4	13.3	3.14
Precious Achiuwa	69	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.28	-12	7	-19	15.3	14.8	0.46	15.8	16.7	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.43,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.58,0	88.1%
CHI 105, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	88.1%
NYK 97, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	87.6%