NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	10.6 [50]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (DET): +31.0%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	9.1 [146]		LVP	Buddy Hield (IND): -27.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Washington Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Terry Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.08	0.02	-0.07	0.03	23	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.11
Jalen Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.1,-0.16	-0.01	-0.16	-0.01	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	8	44%	-0.06	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.16	0.01	20	39%	-0.17	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.19	0.05	15	74%	0.34	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	16	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.24,-0.3,-0.21,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	20	48%	0.02	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	24.6	15.2	25.5	1.7	36.2	131.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +84.8%

IND -5.0%

IND -14.2%

IND -7.9%

IND -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	14.5	109.3	113.3	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		111.4	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	14.3	14.6	13.6	14.1
DET	13.7	16.3	19.7	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Taylor	31	32	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.04	11	-16	27	13.1	14.6	-1.54	17.4	14.5	2.91
Duane Washington Jr.	44	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.7	-1.25	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Buddy Hield	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-12	19	14.4	13.3	1.09	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Jalen Smith	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	13.8	14.5	-0.66	15.8	14.9	0.93
Lance Stephenson	19	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	3	-11	13.8	14.2	-0.34	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Oshae Brissett	58	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	9	-23	14.3	13.8	0.58	15.7	14.9	0.81
Isaiah Jackson	55	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	2	-9	14.4	13.7	0.66	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Malcolm Brogdon	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	2	-9	14.5	13.0	1.50	15.7	14.6	1.15
Tyrese Haliburton	74	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.50	-8	3	-11	14.2	13.8	0.43	15.2	16.2	-1.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	55	55	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-3	11	14.6	16.5	-1.91	14.9	13.1	1.84
Cade Cunningham	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-4	13	13.9	18.8	-4.87	14.8	12.6	2.19
Saddiq Bey	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-4	13	15.7	14.7	0.94	14.2	14.0	0.15
Cory Joseph	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	1	3	15.1	15.8	-0.64	15.0	13.0	2.05
Jerami Grant	54	53	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	15.0	15.9	-0.93	15.3	12.7	2.66
Kelly Olynyk	30	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	3	-1	16.2	15.1	1.17	13.5	14.4	-0.86
Marvin Bagley III	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	15.9	15.0	0.93	12.7	15.3	-2.66
Killian Hayes	42	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	4	-3	15.8	15.1	0.64	13.0	15.0	-2.05
Rodney McGruder	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	9	-13	18.8	13.9	4.87	12.6	14.8	-2.19
Isaiah Livers	11	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	9	-13	16.2	15.3	0.86	12.3	14.4	-2.09
Hamidou Diallo	27	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	10	-15	15.3	15.5	-0.22	13.9	14.2	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.38,0.17,0.16,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.74,1	92.0%
TOR 106, VAN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.33,0.84,1	90.1%
BOS 99, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.53,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.58,1	89.8%