NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	122		Excitement	10.4 [54]		MVP	Mo Bamba (ORL): +49.5%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	36.0 [72]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -34.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28	-0.01	0.28	-0.00	16	55%	0.37	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.04
Isaiah Jackson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	100%	0.21	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.09	0.00	17	49%	0.13	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.10	0.03	18	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	15	80%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.06	0.03	7	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Duane Washington Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	9	16%	-0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.20	0.33	0.04	9	100%	0.50	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	-0.02	0.00	18	70%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	85%	0.09	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	15	41%	-0.04	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.17	-0.03	12	45%	-0.08	6	-0.18	5	60%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.04	-0.32	-0.01	13	38%	-0.34	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	29.4	14.8	25.3	2.3	32.6	2.5	16.2	153.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.3%

IND +6.6%

ORL -26.5%

IND +38.1%

IND +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.5	108.0	100.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		111.4	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.5	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.8	13.8	15.5	14.2	12.8	14.1
ORL	15.0	11.9	12.2	17.7	12.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Smith	81	79	1.18	-0.68	1.86	0.39	27	-19	46	14.5	13.3	1.16	13.3	15.3	-2.03
Malcolm Brogdon	90	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	3	2	14.2	13.8	0.45	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Buddy Hield	91	94	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	3	2	14.1	14.2	-0.11	14.5	11.0	3.49
Terry Taylor	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	-6	20	13.8	14.3	-0.53	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Tyrese Haliburton	82	84	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.36	-5	13	-18	14.6	13.0	1.53	14.3	12.6	1.78
Isaiah Jackson	45	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.34	-9	17	-26	13.6	14.5	-0.97	16.7	11.9	4.73
Lance Stephenson	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	5	-2	13.7	14.3	-0.64	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Goga Bitadze	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	9	-10	12.4	14.2	-1.82	19.6	13.6	5.99
Duane Washington Jr.	38	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.40	10	-2	12	13.8	14.3	-0.49	12.1	14.8	-2.74
Oshae Brissett	63	63	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	17	-26	14.3	14.0	0.29	12.8	15.3	-2.49

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	23	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-11	14	12.8	14.1	-1.32	14.2	14.1	0.04
Chuma Okeke	43	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	3	-14	13.1	14.4	-1.26	14.2	14.1	0.08
Terrence Ross	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	1	-10	12.8	14.4	-1.62	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Admiral Schofield	13	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	4	-16	15.0	13.7	1.27	12.4	14.3	-1.97
Markelle Fultz	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	7	-22	12.9	14.3	-1.36	12.5	14.9	-2.36
Wendell Carter Jr.	87	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-15	22	14.3	12.6	1.73	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Cole Anthony	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-15	22	14.3	12.9	1.36	14.9	12.5	2.36
Mo Bamba	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-15	22	14.0	13.6	0.38	14.8	13.0	1.81
R.J. Hampton	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	12	-32	13.7	14.0	-0.24	13.1	14.7	-1.58
Franz Wagner	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-9	10	14.3	13.1	1.16	14.2	14.1	0.09
Jalen Suggs	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-10	12	14.1	13.6	0.53	14.3	13.9	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.32,0.45,0.66,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.16,0	89.2%
WAS 130, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	88.1%
BOS 114, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.52,0.43,0.15,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.28,0	88.0%