NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	8.5 [205]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (WAS): +30.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	4.5 [142]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -20.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.3	0.07	0.23	-0.00	10	67%	0.32	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05
Corey Kispert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.09	0.08	0.00	6	79%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.01	19	63%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	79%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Raul Neto	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Deni Avdija	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.13,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	16	37%	-0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	-0.00	16	65%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	11	55%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	17	49%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.21	0.01	27	44%	-0.21	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.0	13.6	26.2	1.6	34.6	129.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.1%

WAS +3.3%

WAS +16.8%

PHI -24.5%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	14.5	117.8	112.0	110.8
season	14.9	15.2		109.8	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.8	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	17.6	19.0	16.0	16.7
PHI	15.6	13.7	15.3	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	50	53	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.66	10	-7	17	16.2	17.3	-1.09	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Deni Avdija	50	47	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.50	8	-5	13	15.9	17.6	-1.77	15.6	14.4	1.17
Kyle Kuzma	67	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-5	13	16.5	17.1	-0.56	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-1	5	16.8	16.4	0.39	15.4	14.4	1.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	3	-3	16.8	16.5	0.32	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Rui Hachimura	36	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	16.5	16.8	-0.32	15.5	14.7	0.81
Raul Neto	32	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.7	16.7	-0.02	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Corey Kispert	31	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	6	-9	17.3	16.4	0.90	15.5	14.7	0.71
Aaron Holiday	35	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	11	-19	17.3	16.3	1.06	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Daniel Gafford	40	39	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.25	-7	10	-17	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.3	14.8	0.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	49	49	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.18	-5	2	-7	15.8	14.1	1.62	16.9	16.4	0.46
Tyrese Maxey	73	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-12	21	14.6	16.6	-1.99	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Myles Powell	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	5	-13	15.1	15.0	0.14	15.6	16.8	-1.14
Isaiah Joe	48	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.4	-0.74	17.0	16.3	0.68
Joel Embiid	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-7	11	15.3	14.2	1.18	16.9	16.0	0.92
Andre Drummond	26	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	4	-11	14.2	15.3	-1.18	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Tobias Harris	80	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.7	17.0	-2.30	16.9	15.1	1.80
Georges Niang	47	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	15.2	14.8	0.48	15.3	18.0	-2.67
Matisse Thybulle	42	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.47	-7	4	-11	15.4	14.7	0.70	16.3	17.0	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 124, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.02,0	91.1%
CLE 107, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.78,0.47,0.55,0.33,0.02,0	90.4%
CLE 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.16,0	90.3%