NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	12.7 [15]		MVP	Justin Holiday (IND): +44.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	14.9 [120]		LVP	Caris LeVert (IND): -36.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.44	0.15	0.29	0.00	12	85%	0.51	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Domantas Sabonis	0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.00	0.16	-0.00	16	59%	0.33	5	-0.16	9	67%	-0.06
Terry Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	9	28%	-0.14	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.13,-0.27	0.05	-0.32	0.00	7	64%	-0.10	2	-0.17	8	62%	-0.15
Caris LeVert	-0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.09,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	19	23%	-0.25	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.11

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.17	0.01	16	75%	0.49	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.05
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	7	87%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	10	38%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.17	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mamadi Diakite	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	7	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	7	36%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.15	-0.03	11	41%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	24.2	14.5	34.4	2.5	30.6	2.3	17.3	151.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.6%

OKC -12.3%

IND +95.5%

OKC -28.9%

OKC -10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	14.5	104.6	101.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		111.4	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.2	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	12.5	16.7	16.0	15.1	14.2	14.9
OKC	12.8	15.3	14.0	16.9	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	49	49	1.19	-0.69	1.87	0.57	21	-18	39	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.1	14.2	0.89
Jeremy Lamb	43	43	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.53	19	-16	35	15.3	14.6	0.68	15.8	13.8	1.98
Caris LeVert	85	85	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	15.2	13.7	1.55	15.3	11.9	3.38
Justin Holiday	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	3	-3	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.8	14.1	0.75
Domantas Sabonis	88	89	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	3	-3	15.1	13.9	1.19	14.6	14.4	0.19
Terry Taylor	14	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	-6	15	14.4	14.9	-0.51	16.3	14.3	1.97
Lance Stephenson	34	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	15.6	14.5	1.13	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Duane Washington Jr.	22	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	10	-17	12.8	15.4	-2.63	12.0	15.2	-3.14
Goga Bitadze	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	9	-15	10.9	15.1	-4.29	7.7	15.0	-7.31
Chris Duarte	65	64	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.31	-7	10	-17	14.4	15.6	-1.14	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Torrey Craig	60	60	-0.63	1.13	-1.76	-0.10	-18	21	-39	14.9	14.8	0.10	13.9	15.4	-1.44

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	39	40	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-13	23	12.9	15.5	-2.62	13.7	15.5	-1.82
Theo Maledon	24	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	3	-9	16.5	14.0	2.42	15.5	14.7	0.77
Ty Jerome	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	15.2	14.3	0.83	15.6	14.5	1.05
Mamadi Diakite	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	5	-13	15.8	14.3	1.56	15.5	14.7	0.73
Mike Muscala	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-13	23	13.8	15.1	-1.26	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Luguentz Dort	83	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-7	11	14.4	15.1	-0.66	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	43	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.5	0.21	15.0	14.7	0.30
Josh Giddey	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-9	15	14.1	15.9	-1.80	15.1	14.3	0.79
Tre Mann	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	0	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.80	13.6	16.3	-2.62
Kenrich Williams	53	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	6	-15	15.5	13.7	1.80	15.7	14.2	1.51
Darius Bazley	61	62	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.49	-11	8	-19	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.4	14.1	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	87.2%
PHX 105, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.42,0	86.7%
TOR 122, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	86.3%