NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	8.6 [181]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +33.0%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	5.9 [161]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -17.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.32,0.33	0.10	0.24	0.01	18	65%	0.41	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	7	86%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.00	14	71%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	19	56%	0.27	3	-0.11	7	43%	-0.04
Gary Payton II	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.14	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	14	67%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.13	0.04	10	83%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	14	71%	0.24	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.00	7	83%	0.17	1	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	19	41%	-0.00	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	13	40%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	27.5	14.5	32.2	2.0	35.3	140.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +71.1%

GSW +6.2%

UTA -21.1%

UTA -3.0%

UTA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	15.8	14.5	123.0	117.2	110.8
season	14.2	14.8		112.2	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	13.3	12.7	14.0	13.2
UTA	13.8	16.7	15.6	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	13.7	11.6	2.17	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Andre Iguodala	48	46	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-5	17	12.7	13.6	-0.85	17.3	14.5	2.79
Andrew Wiggins	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	13.2	13.1	0.17	15.4	17.2	-1.72
Stephen Curry	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	13.4	12.7	0.67	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Kevon Looney	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	12	-17	14.2	11.5	2.66	15.8	15.7	0.06
Jonathan Kuminga	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	12.4	13.3	-0.93	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Gary Payton II	61	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	9	-11	13.5	12.7	0.77	14.3	18.3	-4.03
Jordan Poole	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	-1	9	12.5	13.5	-0.96	17.8	14.7	3.08
Nemanja Bjelica	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	2	3	11.6	13.8	-2.19	16.1	15.7	0.42
Juan Toscano-Anderson	25	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	6	-5	11.6	13.7	-2.17	17.1	15.4	1.72

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	71	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.42	10	-17	27	15.4	16.7	-1.32	13.7	11.9	1.78
Mike Conley	58	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	14.9	16.9	-1.98	12.6	14.2	-1.58
Joe Ingles	51	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	17.1	14.4	2.66	13.2	13.2	-0.08
Royce O'Neale	74	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.3	17.1	-1.76	13.7	11.7	2.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	77	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.1	18.3	-3.22	12.9	14.0	-1.13
Donovan Mitchell	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	15.4	17.0	-1.55	13.7	11.8	1.87
Rudy Gay	41	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	12	-31	16.6	15.2	1.48	12.1	14.0	-1.93
Jordan Clarkson	47	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	17.6	14.1	3.56	13.1	13.2	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.43,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.02,0	91.2%
TOR 123, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.02,0	89.4%
ATL 94, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.47,0.45,0.24,0.11,0.43,0.17,0	89.1%