inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Excitement9.7 [81] MVPKenrich Williams (OKC): +28.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 99 Comeback5.2 [80] LVPKyle Anderson (MEM): -16.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenrich Williams0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.290.080.210.00693%0.392-0.102100%0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.03,0.150.020.12-0.011950%0.161-0.02887%0.02
Mike Muscala0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.060.09-0.030.00375%0.0600.006100%0.06
Josh Giddey0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05-0.020.080.001650%0.173-0.12633%-0.04
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01462%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.04-0.01350%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Favors0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.050.01743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03-0.050.02-0.011537%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Tre Mann-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00333%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Darius Bazley-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.090.01756%-0.014-0.15425%-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.10.100.120.020.042062%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.05-0.031547%0.173-0.132100%0.01
Xavier Tillman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
John Konchar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00450%0.0000.002100%0.01
Steven Adams0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04527%-0.002-0.021100%0.00
Killian Tillie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ja Morant0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001255%0.124-0.15560%-0.05
De'Anthony Melton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.02822%-0.0400.002100%0.03
Dillon Brooks0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.18,-0.05,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.08-0.042340%-0.011-0.0710%-0.09
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.14-0.00633%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.028.014.826.42.438.7137.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +63.4%
OKC +3.4%
MEM -8.2%
MEM -5.9%
MEM -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game14.114.714.5103.098.0110.8
season14.414.1103.2112.9
opponent14.314.4107.8111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.013.715.613.514.1
MEM12.716.916.513.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala30330.90-0.401.300.4017-143112.514.8-2.3115.114.50.60
Luguentz Dort72760.81-0.311.120.4313-102314.313.60.7514.914.00.82
Aaron Wiggins12140.51-0.010.520.278-51310.514.6-4.1415.614.51.15
Kenrich Williams51510.420.080.350.3430313.015.4-2.3914.215.1-0.84
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander77780.390.110.280.45-25-714.014.5-0.5214.216.2-2.03
Josh Giddey62620.300.200.090.3003-314.413.80.6114.315.3-1.02
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl4037-0.010.51-0.520.17-69-1515.313.31.9914.314.9-0.60
Tre Mann2927-0.070.57-0.640.02-36-915.413.61.8515.414.40.98
Aleksej Pokusevski4144-0.080.58-0.65-0.225-2713.814.4-0.5716.413.33.11
Derrick Favors3334-0.160.66-0.820.01-69-1516.413.03.3313.415.3-1.87
Darius Bazley4849-0.521.02-1.53-0.11-1417-3113.914.4-0.5614.614.7-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Konchar24280.47-0.971.440.0614-173114.314.8-0.4215.713.52.14
Xavier Tillman41420.16-0.660.82-0.078-111915.314.21.0813.214.9-1.69
De'Anthony Melton41400.05-0.550.590.28-85-1316.213.62.6415.113.51.69
Steven Adams4139-0.00-0.500.500.09-30-314.814.50.2515.913.02.90
Killian Tillie2222-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-1-115.414.50.9114.514.00.52
Jaren Jackson Jr.7472-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.525-81313.817.1-3.3514.114.2-0.11
Dillon Brooks7472-0.630.13-0.77-0.43-74-1114.515.1-0.6813.814.9-1.08
Ja Morant6362-0.670.17-0.84-0.732-5714.015.8-1.7813.215.7-2.54
Desmond Bane7974-0.680.18-0.87-0.45-85-1314.415.4-0.9713.815.2-1.36
Kyle Anderson4644-0.760.26-1.02-0.29-1613-2915.414.01.3513.914.4-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 93, UTA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.28,090.1%
MIA 94, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.42,089.0%
DET 105, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.74,088.6%