NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	10.4 [56]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +36.3%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	3.2 [524]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAL): -22.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22	0.08	0.11	-0.02	17	58%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	21	58%	0.39	4	-0.29	11	73%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	82%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	11	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chaundee Brown Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.09,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	19	45%	0.01	6	-0.24	6	33%	-0.08

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.21,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.22	-0.03	24	58%	0.47	3	-0.10	17	94%	0.16
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	11	65%	0.26	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Tyler Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	17	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.12	-0.04	15	59%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	33.2	14.7	29.4	2.4	35.4	138.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -51.2%

CHI +24.6%

CHI +43.1%

CHI +42.7%

LAL -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	14.5	107.8	111.7	110.8
season	14.3	14.5		109.5	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	14.7	13.0	14.5	14.7
CHI	12.8	12.5	14.7	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	71	71	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.9	-1.82	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Chaundee Brown Jr.	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	16.0	14.5	1.49	10.6	13.8	-3.14
Wayne Ellington	77	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	14.6	14.8	-0.23	13.3	13.7	-0.41
DeAndre Jordan	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.1	1.26	13.7	13.2	0.49
Carmelo Anthony	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.1	15.6	-1.45	13.4	13.5	-0.12
LeBron James	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.0	18.5	-4.46	13.5	13.1	0.37
Russell Westbrook	81	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-3	1	14.7	14.6	0.12	13.2	14.4	-1.26
Trevor Ariza	30	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.0	2.12	13.7	13.3	0.36
Rajon Rondo	47	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	2	-9	15.6	13.9	1.68	14.4	12.6	1.76

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	84	83	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-4	13	13.2	14.5	-1.27	14.4	15.8	-1.38
DeMar DeRozan	77	75	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.54	6	-1	7	13.1	14.4	-1.32	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Alex Caruso	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-3	11	13.7	12.6	1.02	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Javonte Green	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	13.5	13.3	0.16	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Nikola Vucevic	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-1	7	13.5	13.2	0.26	14.2	16.0	-1.74
Tyler Cook	4	4	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	17.5	13.3	4.23	16.5	14.6	1.91
Tony Bradley	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	12.5	13.7	-1.17	15.9	14.3	1.53
Derrick Jones Jr.	12	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	13.5	13.4	0.07	16.4	14.5	1.92
Coby White	50	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	9	-13	13.6	13.3	0.36	15.5	13.9	1.54
Alfonzo McKinnie	33	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	8	-11	13.9	13.2	0.65	15.4	14.3	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	91.4%
IND 81, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.63,0.59,0.28,1	91.2%
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	90.8%