NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	7.9 [288]		MVP	Chuma Okeke (ORL): +36.6%
Brooklyn Nets	93		Comeback	1.4 [462]		LVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): -28.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuma Okeke	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.37,0.37	0.06	0.30	-0.01	11	68%	0.41	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aleem Ford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
BJ Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Mychal Mulder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hassani Gravett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	22	45%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	17	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Duke Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.25,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	15	53%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	13	35%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	24	47%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.00	13	59%	0.07	3	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01
Cam Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	20	37%	-0.19	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.2	15.3	25.4	1.7	30.2	124.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.1%

ORL +3.4%

BKN -9.7%

ORL +1.2%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	13.0	14.5	99.0	91.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		103.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.1	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	15.9	15.4	16.6	15.4
BKN	13.8	13.0	11.3	14.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-5	17	15.2	16.0	-0.72	13.9	10.3	3.55
Mychal Mulder	63	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-14	35	14.7	16.6	-1.88	13.0	12.8	0.18
Chuma Okeke	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	4	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.90	12.2	15.1	-2.87
Franz Wagner	62	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-1	9	15.1	16.0	-0.88	12.3	14.1	-1.78
Hassani Gravett	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	16.0	14.9	1.16	13.6	12.3	1.23
Robin Lopez	81	84	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.14	12.6	14.7	-2.08
Admiral Schofield	20	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	1	5	15.5	15.4	0.14	14.7	12.6	2.08
BJ Johnson	43	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	15	-23	15.7	15.3	0.42	12.1	13.5	-1.45
Aleem Ford	35	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	17	-27	17.1	14.6	2.48	13.8	12.5	1.25

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	45	43	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-12	17	14.2	11.9	2.31	17.1	14.2	2.85
James Ennis III	26	27	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-13	19	11.9	13.3	-1.38	15.9	15.3	0.57
David Duke Jr.	78	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-12	17	12.4	14.7	-2.24	15.1	16.5	-1.34
Shaquille Harrison	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	13.3	12.7	0.65	15.9	15.1	0.74
Blake Griffin	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	12.7	13.5	-0.78	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Cam Thomas	78	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	12.9	13.0	-0.06	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Patty Mills	85	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	5	-17	13.2	11.8	1.35	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Kessler Edwards	82	83	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.50	-19	12	-31	12.9	13.3	-0.50	15.2	16.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.21,0.53,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.37,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.43,0.26,0	92.2%
ORL 95, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.08,0	92.0%
MIA 86, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.28,0	92.0%