NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	6.9 [462]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): +20.0%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	11.5 [103]		LVP	Enes Kanter (BOS): -13.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	4	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.09	-0.02	0.07	-0.03	23	47%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jabari Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Romeo Langford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.04	-0.01	14	28%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	16	46%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	14	43%	0.06	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	5	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.17	-0.01	24	53%	0.25	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.01	16	47%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joshua Primo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	30.3	14.6	25.4	1.8	35.2	132.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.0%

SAS +0.1%

SAS +2.5%

SAS +18.7%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAS	NBA	BOS	SAS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	14.5	91.7	99.0	110.8
season	14.9	13.9		112.2	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	15.5	13.4	14.5	14.6
SAS	12.5	15.8	15.9	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	35	35	0.85	-1.35	2.19	0.02	28	-36	64	14.3	14.8	-0.52	17.0	14.2	2.78
Grant Williams	51	55	0.57	-1.07	1.65	0.05	18	-26	44	14.3	15.0	-0.71	15.9	14.3	1.56
Romeo Langford	32	35	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.29	-2	-6	4	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Aaron Nesmith	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-6	4	16.1	14.3	1.74	16.3	14.9	1.33
Jabari Parker	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-1	-6	15.3	14.6	0.73	12.6	15.5	-2.89
Jayson Tatum	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Marcus Smart	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	9	-26	15.0	13.7	1.32	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Jaylen Brown	57	55	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.62	-2	-6	4	14.2	15.3	-1.16	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	77	77	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.51	-14	6	-20	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Al Horford	51	52	-1.24	0.74	-1.98	-0.39	-29	21	-50	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.5	16.0	-1.50

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	79	78	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.56	12	-4	16	14.7	17.2	-2.42	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Jakob Poeltl	70	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-9	26	14.7	16.4	-1.73	14.7	14.6	0.03
Derrick White	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-8	24	15.2	15.3	-0.18	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Tre Jones	38	37	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-9	26	13.4	16.4	-2.96	14.8	14.5	0.27
Dejounte Murray	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	15.3	14.9	0.43	14.9	13.8	1.13
Keita Bates-Diop	39	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	3	2	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Joshua Primo	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	14.0	15.3	-1.33	16.8	14.4	2.35
Drew Eubanks	15	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	17.2	14.8	2.37	14.3	14.7	-0.36
Thaddeus Young	12	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	14	-20	15.5	15.2	0.35	14.9	14.6	0.31
Bryn Forbes	44	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.26	-15	23	-38	16.3	14.3	1.97	14.0	15.2	-1.11
Lonnie Walker IV	28	25	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.15	-14	22	-36	17.9	14.1	3.79	15.4	14.4	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.31,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.15,0.32,0.73,1	89.5%
BOS 93, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.2,0.29,0.15,0.58,1	89.1%
ATL 92, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	88.4%