NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	7.9 [291]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +39.9%
Detroit Pistons	116		Comeback	30.1 [124]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -36.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.40	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.4	0.11	0.31	0.02	19	62%	0.43	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.00	8	95%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	6	93%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	21	52%	0.14	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.04	-0.10	0.04	-0.02	13	31%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.11	-0.01	25	60%	0.28	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.03
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.01	9	85%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	13	54%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.31,-0.37	-0.37	-0.16	-0.24	-0.03	21	31%	-0.24	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.2	14.5	39.8	1.8	43.4	153.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.0%

DET -9.5%

LAL +8.1%

DET -0.7%

DET -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	12.6	14.7	14.5	114.2	110.5	110.8
season	14.3	14.6		109.5	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.1	12.7	13.6	11.9	12.6
DET	14.0	14.5	14.1	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	56	56	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-13	31	12.6	12.5	0.16	15.4	14.0	1.32
Carmelo Anthony	64	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-8	21	12.3	12.9	-0.56	15.2	14.0	1.18
Talen Horton-Tucker	75	72	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-8	21	11.9	14.1	-2.16	14.4	15.5	-1.04
Russell Westbrook	79	77	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	12.2	13.6	-1.33	14.8	14.6	0.19
Anthony Davis	89	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	12.4	13.5	-1.08	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Malik Monk	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	5	-5	11.7	12.9	-1.11	15.1	14.6	0.45
DeAndre Jordan	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	13.6	12.2	1.40	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Rajon Rondo	9	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	14.0	12.4	1.57	15.9	14.6	1.28
Wayne Ellington	26	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	11	-17	13.1	12.4	0.73	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Dwight Howard	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	13	-21	12.6	12.6	-0.02	14.6	14.8	-0.23
LeBron James	67	67	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.03	-18	23	-41	13.4	11.2	2.23	14.1	15.9	-1.76

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	42	41	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.09	2	-7	9	14.9	14.7	0.19	12.1	12.9	-0.76
Trey Lyles	24	25	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	14.2	14.9	-0.75	14.8	11.9	2.98
Hamidou Diallo	45	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	14.9	14.6	0.33	12.7	12.5	0.24
Josh Jackson	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	6	-17	15.0	14.6	0.41	13.6	12.1	1.48
Saddiq Bey	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	14.4	15.6	-1.13	12.2	13.5	-1.32
Cory Joseph	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.0	13.7	1.29	12.9	11.2	1.66
Cade Cunningham	86	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.3	16.8	-2.50	12.1	14.5	-2.39
Jerami Grant	82	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	14.8	14.4	0.39	12.1	14.4	-2.33
Frank Jackson	54	53	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	8	-21	15.2	14.3	0.95	12.6	12.5	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.66,0.31,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 123, PHX 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.29,0.16,0	92.1%
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	90.8%
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	90.7%