NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	9.6 [89]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +72.0%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	26.3 [51]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -38.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0.72	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.72	0.09	0.63	-0.00	12	78%	0.86	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.16
Jarrett Allen	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.02	6	89%	0.32	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	56%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.38	-0.16	-0.23	-0.01	18	25%	-0.34	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	14	61%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	21	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	19	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	18	46%	-0.07	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	25.1	14.4	29.3	1.8	33.1	129.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.9%

CLE +75.6%

TOR -9.1%

TOR -22.5%

TOR -17.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	14.5	109.7	108.6	110.8
season	15.2	14.9		110.6	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	15.3	14.4	17.8	15.3
TOR	15.8	15.3	14.4	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.52	5	-4	9	16.2	12.2	4.01	16.0	14.3	1.73
Darius Garland	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	0	1	16.3	12.8	3.42	15.7	15.3	0.39
Lamar Stevens	18	19	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-8	17	13.6	15.8	-2.15	17.1	15.2	1.86
Cedi Osman	51	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	1	-1	14.6	16.2	-1.63	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Dean Wade	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	4	-7	16.3	14.3	1.98	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Evan Mobley	77	76	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.47	-7	8	-15	15.0	17.1	-2.15	14.7	19.9	-5.21
Ricky Rubio	46	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	3	-5	13.7	16.9	-3.22	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Collin Sexton	59	60	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	0	1	16.4	13.5	2.95	16.1	14.8	1.25
Dylan Windler	23	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	0	1	12.6	16.2	-3.63	15.3	15.7	-0.39

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	38	37	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.09	5	-6	11	13.8	16.9	-3.15	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Malachi Flynn	14	15	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-5	9	14.7	15.8	-1.07	15.5	15.3	0.15
Dalano Banton	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-6	11	14.6	15.9	-1.36	12.1	16.3	-4.20
Svi Mykhailiuk	37	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	0	-1	16.9	14.7	2.20	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Chris Boucher	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	3	-7	18.1	15.2	2.85	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Scottie Barnes	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-6	11	15.3	17.2	-1.96	15.1	16.3	-1.16
Fred VanVleet	69	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	2	-5	15.7	15.3	0.39	16.4	12.3	4.06
Gary Trent Jr.	74	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	4	-9	15.1	17.5	-2.33	14.6	18.1	-3.47
OG Anunoby	68	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.49	-5	4	-9	15.5	15.9	-0.41	16.5	11.9	4.56
Khem Birch	54	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.54	-6	5	-11	17.2	13.4	3.81	15.7	14.9	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.79,0.78,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	92.4%
DEN 80, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.47,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.74,0	91.6%
PHX 97, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.84,0	90.7%