NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	112		Excitement	9.6 [86]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +35.8%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	5.6 [123]		LVP	Malik Monk (CHA): -30.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaxson Hayes	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	11	69%	0.29	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
James Johnson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	13	57%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.08
Eric Bledsoe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.09
Naji Marshall	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.2	0.00	-0.20	0.00	11	54%	-0.05	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36	0.36	0.27	0.11	0.02	26	77%	0.46	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.04
P.J. Washington	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	16	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.16	-0.01	19	54%	0.07	5	-0.24	3	0%	-0.18
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.22	-0.00	10	25%	-0.25	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.0	26.2	15.0	27.1	2.5	40.2	136.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +20.1%

NOP +3.4%

NOP +21.0%

NOP +9.1%

CHA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	13.2	14.4	14.4	107.7	104.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.2		112.4	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.8	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.1	17.8	11.4	13.3	13.2
CHA	13.7	12.4	14.3	17.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	65	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-10	22	13.7	12.3	1.42	14.6	14.0	0.62
Jaxson Hayes	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-5	12	12.9	13.5	-0.67	16.0	12.5	3.52
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	44	46	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	-2	6	12.0	14.1	-2.11	16.2	12.9	3.22
Naji Marshall	62	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-12	26	12.5	14.2	-1.63	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Eric Bledsoe	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-7	16	12.1	16.0	-3.94	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Lonzo Ball	67	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	4	-6	14.0	11.6	2.40	13.1	16.5	-3.38
Kira Lewis Jr.	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	9	-16	16.0	12.1	3.94	15.8	13.8	1.98
Willy Hernangomez	50	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.01	-5	7	-12	13.5	12.9	0.67	12.5	16.0	-3.52
Wenyen Gabriel	37	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	10	-18	13.0	13.3	-0.34	14.6	14.2	0.32
Wes Iwundu	37	40	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	16	-30	13.5	13.0	0.46	14.6	14.2	0.34

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Wanamaker	54	50	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.02	13	-15	28	14.5	14.2	0.36	13.5	12.9	0.52
Caleb Martin	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-6	10	13.9	14.8	-0.92	14.5	12.1	2.41
Cody Zeller	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	14.7	14.1	0.58	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Bismack Biyombo	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	8	-18	14.1	14.7	-0.68	13.8	12.5	1.29
P.J. Washington	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-9	16	13.6	16.6	-2.94	13.4	12.5	0.86
Terry Rozier	90	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-5	8	14.2	15.2	-0.98	13.6	10.2	3.47
Jalen McDaniels	36	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.23	-23	21	-44	14.8	14.1	0.72	11.8	13.8	-2.06
Malik Monk	44	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	16.0	13.1	2.90	13.2	13.2	0.07
LaMelo Ball	71	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	5	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.16	11.8	16.0	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	90.4%
MIL 97, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	90.1%
IND 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,0	89.6%