NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	9.8 [71]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +32.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	4.4 [421]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (NOP): -31.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wenyen Gabriel	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.02	7	67%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.10	0.01	16	53%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	10	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.14	0.00	10	50%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.16,-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	18	45%	0.02	5	-0.31	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	-0.00	20	41%	-0.13	2	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.27	-0.02	16	53%	0.36	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.21	-0.08	0.02	20	71%	0.18	3	-0.06	12	100%	0.09
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.07	-0.00	11	73%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	6	33%	-0.06
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.07,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	-0.00	10	40%	-0.09	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	28.4	14.8	23.4	2.4	37.2	136.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.9%

PHI +8.8%

PHI +1.9%

NOP -10.9%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.4	104.9	105.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.5		112.4	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.4		106.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.7	12.9	12.4	14.2	13.6
PHI	13.0	15.4	16.4	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wenyen Gabriel	43	44	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.09	13	-15	28	13.5	13.6	-0.16	15.3	13.9	1.41
Kira Lewis Jr.	43	43	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.08	11	-13	24	14.3	13.0	1.33	16.0	13.5	2.52
Jaxson Hayes	52	51	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-7	12	13.3	13.8	-0.55	15.0	14.1	0.85
Wes Iwundu	47	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-2	2	13.5	13.6	-0.05	15.1	14.1	1.04
Lonzo Ball	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	3	-8	13.1	14.8	-1.71	13.9	16.4	-2.54
Naji Marshall	57	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	13.3	13.9	-0.59	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Willy Hernangomez	49	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.48	-7	5	-12	14.1	13.1	0.97	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Eric Bledsoe	86	87	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	8	-18	13.6	13.5	0.07	14.4	15.3	-0.92
James Johnson	58	59	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.43	-15	13	-28	13.7	13.3	0.38	13.9	15.3	-1.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	68	68	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.49	18	-16	34	13.9	15.8	-1.92	13.7	13.3	0.35
Joel Embiid	71	70	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.57	14	-12	26	14.3	15.0	-0.68	13.7	13.2	0.45
Ben Simmons	72	71	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.51	13	-11	24	14.2	15.4	-1.17	14.0	12.6	1.31
Seth Curry	68	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-10	22	15.0	13.6	1.46	13.5	13.8	-0.31
George Hill	37	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.20	-11	13	-24	13.9	14.9	-1.04	14.0	13.3	0.65
Matisse Thybulle	31	31	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.07	-11	13	-24	15.4	14.2	1.17	12.6	14.0	-1.31
Dwight Howard	32	32	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.12	-12	14	-26	15.0	14.3	0.68	13.2	13.7	-0.45
Shake Milton	33	32	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	-0.05	-15	17	-32	15.6	14.0	1.58	13.1	13.8	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, SAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	89.4%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	89.4%
IND 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	88.6%