NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	140		Excitement	10.7 [40]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +49.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	136		Comeback	67.0 [32]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (MIN): -35.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.49	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.49,0.49	0.15	0.34	-0.00	17	76%	0.68	7	-0.19	15	60%	-0.07
Willy Hernangomez	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.01	7	67%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.18	0.01	10	67%	0.33	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	76%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
James Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.13	-0.09	0.07	21	69%	0.11	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	17	33%	-0.19	4	-0.12	8	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.18	0.01	8	61%	0.21	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.11	-0.02	19	61%	0.29	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.08
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	13	61%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	4	90%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.05	13	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	21	55%	0.10	6	-0.21	11	82%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.2,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.12	-0.28	-0.05	22	38%	-0.15	4	-0.20	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	30.4	15.5	29.2	1.6	34.4	2.5	21.1	162.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +52.0%

NOP +5.2%

MIN -3.2%

MIN -8.1%

NOP +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	12.9	13.5	14.4	116.7	112.4	111.3
season	14.0	14.1		112.4	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	13.4	13.3	12.4	13.6	10.8	12.9
MIN	13.2	12.4	12.4	17.0	12.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	61	63	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.57	16	-12	28	12.0	13.9	-1.93	14.4	12.5	1.90
Zion Williamson	93	96	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-10	24	12.3	15.0	-2.66	14.1	11.2	2.88
Brandon Ingram	91	92	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-3	10	12.6	13.7	-1.09	13.8	12.4	1.41
Lonzo Ball	90	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	1	2	12.4	14.3	-1.87	14.2	11.4	2.78
Naji Marshall	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	2	0	13.8	12.6	1.21	11.8	14.1	-2.25
Kira Lewis Jr.	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.07	-2	6	-8	13.8	12.5	1.33	11.7	14.3	-2.60
Wenyen Gabriel	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	13	-22	14.6	12.8	1.77	8.7	13.8	-5.07
James Johnson	49	47	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.20	-4	8	-12	14.3	11.9	2.34	12.3	14.2	-1.91
Jaxson Hayes	58	57	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.22	-11	15	-26	14.1	11.8	2.26	12.6	14.3	-1.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	77	76	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.19	10	-14	24	14.0	12.5	1.52	12.9	12.9	-0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	51	50	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.17	3	-7	10	12.0	14.6	-2.61	13.3	12.6	0.65
Josh Okogie	40	40	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-10	16	12.8	13.8	-1.06	12.7	13.0	-0.23
Jordan McLaughlin	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-4	4	10.8	14.3	-3.47	14.3	12.4	1.82
Jarred Vanderbilt	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	5	-14	11.4	14.7	-3.27	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Naz Reid	46	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.7	12.8	1.91	14.2	12.0	2.25
Ricky Rubio	75	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	0	-4	14.0	12.6	1.42	12.3	13.8	-1.45
Karl-Anthony Towns	82	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	14.2	11.9	2.31	12.9	12.9	0.04
Anthony Edwards	87	84	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	4	-12	14.3	11.4	2.89	12.3	14.3	-2.05
D'Angelo Russell	75	76	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	6	-16	13.5	13.4	0.09	12.9	12.9	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	89.5%
OKC 111, BKN 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.57,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.77,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.15,0.04,0	89.4%
MIN 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	87.2%