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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 140 Excitement10.7 [40] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +49.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 136 Comeback67.0 [32] LVPD'Angelo Russell (MIN): -35.6%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0.490,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.49,0.490.150.34-0.001776%0.687-0.191560%-0.07
Willy Hernangomez0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.070.20-0.01767%0.2800.004100%0.02
Eric Bledsoe0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.240.060.180.011067%0.332-0.09450%-0.02
Jaxson Hayes0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.00676%0.131-0.045100%0.03
James Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.02542%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01350%0.0300.002100%0.01
Naji Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.01650%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Wenyen Gabriel-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Lonzo Ball-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.13-0.090.072169%0.115-0.14683%-0.00
Brandon Ingram-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.16-0.17-0.021733%-0.194-0.12850%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.040.180.01861%0.211-0.002100%0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.060.11-0.021961%0.294-0.108100%0.08
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.07-0.001361%0.1600.0020%-0.05
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.05-0.00490%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00283%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.010.030.030.051350%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Josh Okogie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.080.002155%0.106-0.211182%0.00
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.2,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.28-0.052238%-0.154-0.2010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.330.415.529.21.634.42.521.1162.5
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +52.0%
NOP +5.2%
MIN -3.2%
MIN -8.1%
NOP +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPMINNBANOPMINNBA
this game12.913.514.4116.7112.4111.3
season14.014.1112.4108.7
opponent14.014.4113.9112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOP13.413.312.413.610.812.9
MIN13.212.412.417.012.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willy Hernangomez61631.04-0.541.580.5716-122812.013.9-1.9314.412.51.90
Zion Williamson93960.80-0.301.100.3914-102412.315.0-2.6614.111.22.88
Brandon Ingram91920.68-0.180.870.487-31012.613.7-1.0913.812.41.41
Lonzo Ball90910.53-0.030.560.4431212.414.3-1.8714.211.42.78
Naji Marshall34330.010.49-0.48-0.0522013.812.61.2111.814.1-2.25
Kira Lewis Jr.3940-0.130.63-0.77-0.07-26-813.812.51.3311.714.3-2.60
Wenyen Gabriel77-0.170.67-0.840.10-913-2214.612.81.778.713.8-5.07
James Johnson4947-0.310.81-1.13-0.20-48-1214.311.92.3412.314.2-1.91
Jaxson Hayes5857-0.541.04-1.59-0.22-1115-2614.111.82.2612.614.3-1.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden McDaniels77760.49-0.991.480.1910-142414.012.51.5212.912.9-0.01
Juancho Hernangomez51500.26-0.761.020.173-71012.014.6-2.6113.312.60.65
Josh Okogie40400.09-0.590.69-0.086-101612.813.8-1.0612.713.0-0.23
Jordan McLaughlin28300.06-0.560.620.060-4410.814.3-3.4714.312.41.82
Jarred Vanderbilt4444-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-95-1411.414.7-3.2712.313.2-0.92
Naz Reid4648-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.38-2-2014.712.81.9114.212.02.25
Ricky Rubio7572-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-40-414.012.61.4212.313.8-1.45
Karl-Anthony Towns8280-0.590.09-0.67-0.41-62-814.211.92.3112.912.90.04
Anthony Edwards8784-0.720.22-0.95-0.49-84-1214.311.42.8912.314.3-2.05
D'Angelo Russell7576-0.740.24-0.98-0.45-106-1613.513.40.0912.912.9-0.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.22,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 103, HOU 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.09,089.5%
OKC 111, BKN 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.57,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.77,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.15,0.04,089.4%
MIN 102, CHI 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.06,0.02,087.2%