inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 146 Excitement12.7 [7] MVPAlex Len (WAS): +44.3%
Washington Wizards 143 Comeback6.5 [229] LVPRussell Westbrook (WAS): -46.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.390,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.390.170.230.002363%0.462-0.0713100%0.13
Keldon Johnson0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.350.150.200.011472%0.3500.001100%0.00
Patty Mills0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.260.060.19-0.00861%0.2600.002100%0.03
Dejounte Murray0.250,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.250.060.14-0.042353%0.271-0.021100%0.01
Jakob Poeltl0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.090.01477%0.161-0.02580%0.02
Rudy Gay0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.05-0.001165%0.141-0.02475%-0.00
Gorgui Dieng0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00375%0.0700.00250%-0.02
Drew Eubanks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00759%0.071-0.04367%-0.00
Devin Vassell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick White-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.050.02750%-0.0500.00475%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.440.440.160.280.00989%0.4400.0010%-0.02
Bradley Beal0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,-0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.5,0.38,0.340.340.190.180.033757%0.3400.005100%0.04
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.110.19-0.00781%0.3000.002100%0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.090.110.00593%0.241-0.044100%0.07
Anthony Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.010.00787%0.1300.0010%-0.01
Raul Neto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01460%0.0200.002100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.02350%-0.021-0.04667%-0.03
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.16,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,0.16,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.47-0.47-0.18-0.32-0.032639%-0.086-0.394100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.12.023.314.727.51.834.22.518.4151.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +7.5%
SAS +25.2%
WAS -34.2%
SAS +28.5%
SAS +23.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game15.014.114.4133.9131.2111.3
season14.613.3109.8109.9
opponent14.114.2112.4111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS13.016.714.914.918.015.0
WAS14.214.712.315.115.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan83840.68-0.180.870.545-2714.716.1-1.4014.612.52.09
Patty Mills68690.53-0.030.570.4821115.115.00.0313.215.8-2.64
Keldon Johnson75750.53-0.030.560.4721115.015.2-0.2815.211.83.39
Jakob Poeltl54540.480.020.460.63-58-1314.815.3-0.4615.013.31.76
Dejounte Murray85840.240.26-0.030.38-58-1315.115.00.0614.512.81.67
Rudy Gay43440.120.38-0.26-0.118-51315.214.90.2712.415.3-2.92
Lonnie Walker IV42410.100.40-0.30-0.055-2716.114.41.7812.315.2-2.94
Derrick White3938-0.020.52-0.54-0.0203-314.515.4-0.9115.613.42.23
Gorgui Dieng1616-0.040.54-0.59-0.1021114.415.2-0.7115.913.82.05
Devin Vassell12-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-36-917.015.01.9715.514.11.40

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ish Smith56560.20-0.700.900.113-6912.915.4-2.4715.514.60.86
Raul Neto53530.08-0.580.660.022-5713.614.6-0.9514.115.9-1.85
Anthony Gill29280.04-0.540.58-0.022-5713.214.4-1.2116.614.52.10
Garrison Mathews2323-0.11-0.390.290.01-41-513.714.2-0.4916.314.71.54
Daniel Gafford3334-0.16-0.340.180.11-96-1513.014.6-1.5714.715.2-0.54
Rui Hachimura6161-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.496-91514.713.41.3816.313.52.76
Alex Len4747-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.536-91515.413.12.3214.415.5-1.17
Bradley Beal8282-0.560.06-0.61-0.50-2-1-115.011.43.6215.114.90.26
Davis Bertans7474-0.600.10-0.71-0.37-85-1313.515.4-1.8314.416.5-2.12
Russell Westbrook8787-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-118-1914.512.51.9814.716.4-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 108, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,090.2%
OKC 128, NYK 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.85,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.16,088.8%
POR 108, CHA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.02,0,088.6%