inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 90 Excitement2.7 [1076] MVPJoel Embiid (PHI): +13.3%
Philadelphia 76ers 121 Comeback1.0 [1154] LVPTheo Maledon (OKC): -8.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Jerome0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.000.061285%0.131-0.002100%0.01
Darius Bazley0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.031156%0.054-0.04367%-0.01
Charlie Brown Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02450%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Moses Brown-0.030,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.02861%0.033-0.06250%0.00
Jaylen Hoard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03521%-0.0300.00425%-0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03567%0.015-0.0520%-0.02
Aleksej Pokusevski-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.150.00-0.101133%-0.015-0.03250%-0.01
Isaiah Roby-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02932%-0.0510.00475%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.150.00-0.08520%-0.035-0.0400%0.00
Theo Maledon-0.080,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.01856%-0.005-0.08250%-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Embiid0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.00-0.021072%0.172-0.03978%-0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.00-0.04556%0.081-0.00650%-0.00
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.03675%0.0400.0000%0.00
Furkan Korkmaz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Simmons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.010.04875%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02367%0.031-0.023100%0.00
Shake Milton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01750%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001055%0.042-0.0400%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Tyrese Maxey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.105110%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mason Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rayjon Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Paul Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05771%0.0010.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06625%0.0010.0000%0.00
Matisse Thybulle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.013100%0.014-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.827.215.429.22.525.3126.5
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +32.6%
PHI +8.5%
OKC -4.3%
PHI +13.5%
OKC -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPHINBAOKCPHINBA
this game13.614.114.485.7117.5111.3
season14.214.5102.4112.6
opponent14.214.0106.7112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.315.913.711.913.6
PHI13.415.412.914.914.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Brown Jr.2827-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-374310.514.7-4.2113.714.2-0.55
Jaylen Hoard3334-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-2-292713.113.8-0.7714.314.00.24
Isaiah Roby4243-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-16114.213.21.0814.713.71.05
Moses Brown6460-0.23-0.270.030.15-13-18513.513.7-0.1513.914.3-0.42
Svi Mykhailiuk5152-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-231512.914.2-1.3414.713.51.26
Theo Maledon5148-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-14-314.013.20.8013.214.9-1.76
Ty Jerome6565-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-16113.413.9-0.4614.713.21.50
Aleksej Pokusevski6564-0.30-0.20-0.100.52-28-3-2514.112.71.4414.313.80.46
Darius Bazley6766-0.38-0.12-0.250.59-332-3514.212.51.6714.014.3-0.30
Kenrich Williams5956-0.40-0.10-0.310.48-30-1-2914.112.91.1713.414.9-1.49

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris54560.400.100.30-0.242291313.414.9-1.5114.312.81.45
Joel Embiid51510.330.170.16-0.201813513.714.5-0.7214.213.01.25
Ben Simmons49500.320.180.14-0.272011913.115.0-1.9214.213.01.20
George Hill29290.290.210.08-0.241813513.614.3-0.6814.213.40.85
Shake Milton30300.260.240.03-0.091219-714.713.80.8814.813.11.69
Matisse Thybulle38370.250.250.01-0.161417-314.513.90.6214.013.40.67
Seth Curry52520.210.29-0.08-0.171318-513.914.3-0.3714.412.81.69
Dwight Howard29300.170.33-0.16-0.211318-514.114.10.0414.613.21.37
Furkan Korkmaz45460.160.34-0.18-0.221318-513.414.7-1.2614.113.20.96
Anthony Tolliver35340.100.40-0.30-0.341516-115.013.61.3514.513.21.35
Paul Reed23240.000.50-0.500.00031-3114.913.90.9811.014.4-3.36
Isaiah Joe22240.000.50-0.500.00031-3115.213.81.3711.014.4-3.36
Mason Jones14150.000.50-0.500.18-637-4314.614.00.629.014.4-5.36
Rayjon Tucker18190.000.50-0.500.03-132-3315.613.81.7610.414.3-3.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 74, UTA 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
HOU 88, SAS 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MIA 74, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%