NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.2 [219]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA): +25.0%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	6.7 [34]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -32.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0.00	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jordan McLaughlin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	19	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
D'Angelo Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	18	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.03,0.06,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.01	18	57%	0.22	4	-0.30	6	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.11	0.02	20	71%	0.36	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Miye Oni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	7	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	16	41%	-0.06	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	9	17%	-0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.20	0.02	15	51%	-0.07	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.05	-0.28	-0.01	6	60%	-0.01	5	-0.32	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	30.6	15.4	25.5	2.4	36.4	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.7%

UTA -6.9%

MIN +21.2%

MIN +16.1%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.4	100.0	97.0	111.3
season	14.1	14.5		108.7	116.4
opponent	14.5	14.0		108.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	14.4	13.0	15.4	14.0
UTA	13.5	16.3	16.4	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-7	19	13.4	15.2	-1.80	14.7	15.2	-0.48
D'Angelo Russell	65	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	13.6	14.7	-1.15	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Anthony Edwards	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	0	5	14.2	13.5	0.68	15.1	14.0	1.05
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	4	-3	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.8	14.8	0.02
Naz Reid	28	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	1	3	14.8	13.7	1.16	15.0	14.8	0.18
Jarred Vanderbilt	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	6	-7	13.8	14.0	-0.21	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Juancho Hernangomez	43	40	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	13.7	14.2	-0.45	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Jordan McLaughlin	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	12.7	14.1	-1.40	13.8	15.0	-1.14
Ricky Rubio	41	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	10	-15	15.2	13.1	2.09	15.6	14.3	1.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miye Oni	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	15.0	14.8	0.28	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Derrick Favors	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	0	-5	13.7	15.2	-1.54	12.4	14.5	-2.10
Georges Niang	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	14.0	15.2	-1.17	14.3	13.8	0.45
Jordan Clarkson	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	14.1	15.9	-1.85	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Joe Ingles	77	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.0	-0.16	14.1	13.5	0.56
Royce O'Neale	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	14.8	14.9	-0.05	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Rudy Gobert	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-4	3	15.4	13.3	2.01	14.9	11.6	3.28
Mike Conley	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	1	-7	15.2	14.2	1.04	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	15.3	13.6	1.70	14.2	13.5	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.64,0.32,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.27,0.14,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.46,0.17,0.09,0	91.0%
NYK 111, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.42,0	89.5%
MEM 101, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.04,0	89.2%