NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	136		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +40.2%
Boston Celtics	145		Comeback	11.9 [253]		LVP	Grant Williams (BOS): -5.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.18	-0.00	18	65%	0.34	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	11	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.04	12	75%	0.14	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Jordan McLaughlin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Culver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	22	60%	0.19	6	-0.24	6	100%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.34	0.10	0.04	25	80%	0.55	5	-0.15	16	94%	0.07
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.03	0.02	12	77%	0.22	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.10	0.05	15	76%	0.26	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,0.04,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.16	-0.01	14	53%	0.25	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	30.2	15.4	34.4	1.6	31.2	2.4	14.3	158.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.5%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +6.9%

MIN -11.7%

BOS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.4	120.4	126.1	111.3
season	14.1	14.5		108.7	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.0		111.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	11.4	15.4	13.5	15.1	13.5	13.7
BOS	14.4	12.3	14.2	16.9	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Culver	12	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-13	17	9.2	14.2	-5.00	15.6	14.0	1.62
Naz Reid	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	13.3	13.8	-0.55	15.8	13.8	2.01
Jordan McLaughlin	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	12.0	14.4	-2.47	16.2	13.4	2.83
Ricky Rubio	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-10	11	15.0	12.8	2.19	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Anthony Edwards	86	88	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.6	11.0	3.62	13.6	16.0	-2.43
D'Angelo Russell	61	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	1	-11	12.3	15.4	-3.09	14.5	13.7	0.80
Josh Okogie	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	14.1	12.9	1.25	14.2	14.1	0.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	91	92	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	13.8	13.3	0.55	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Jaden McDaniels	90	93	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	8	-25	14.9	9.1	5.81	13.7	16.2	-2.48

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	26	26	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-4	17	15.7	13.7	2.01	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Robert Williams III	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	2	5	14.7	13.7	1.03	14.2	13.3	0.90
Jaylen Brown	92	91	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	14.7	11.9	2.88	14.4	11.1	3.26
Grant Williams	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	14.0	14.4	-0.39	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Kemba Walker	83	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	13.9	14.9	-1.01	14.9	10.8	4.05
Tristan Thompson	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	13.7	14.7	-0.96	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Marcus Smart	90	90	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	14.3	13.6	0.68	13.1	16.3	-3.25
Semi Ojeleye	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	7	-5	10.9	14.7	-3.76	16.0	13.4	2.63
Romeo Langford	11	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	20	-31	16.0	14.0	2.02	8.0	14.3	-6.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.26,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.78,0.9,0.84,1	88.5%
BKN 119, IND 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.95,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.85,1	88.1%
POR 113, DET 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.72,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.9,1,1	87.5%