NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	5.3 [665]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +22.0%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.5 [487]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	72%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	13	72%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devon Dotson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	16	33%	-0.09	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.00	24	60%	0.22	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	4	112%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	79%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	15	66%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nico Mannion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	19	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	26.0	14.8	27.4	1.8	31.0	126.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.0%

CHI -3.4%

GSW +0.0%

GSW +25.3%

GSW +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.4	103.0	117.2	111.3
season	14.5	13.5		109.9	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		108.8	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	13.5	13.7	15.8	14.4
GSW	13.9	15.3	13.0	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	3	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-17	20	11.7	14.5	-2.83	19.5	14.5	5.03
Cristiano Felicio	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.0	14.4	-0.43	9.7	14.8	-5.17
Devon Dotson	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-14	14	18.3	14.2	4.17	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Nikola Vucevic	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-11	8	14.7	14.1	0.58	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Thaddeus Young	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-7	0	14.9	13.9	1.04	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Troy Brown Jr.	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-9	4	15.4	14.0	1.42	16.5	13.8	2.69
Patrick Williams	68	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-11	8	14.4	14.5	-0.05	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Tomas Satoransky	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	14.8	13.8	0.96	14.7	14.7	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-8	2	12.9	15.1	-2.15	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Zach LaVine	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-2	-10	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.4	15.2	-0.71
Javonte Green	29	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	13.6	14.8	-1.17	13.0	15.3	-2.25
Lauri Markkanen	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-9	4	14.1	14.7	-0.54	15.0	14.4	0.63
Daniel Theis	46	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	1	-16	13.9	14.9	-1.02	15.4	14.0	1.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	63	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-2	18	14.0	15.9	-1.95	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Kevon Looney	36	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-3	20	14.5	14.8	-0.23	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Draymond Green	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	2	10	14.3	15.5	-1.19	14.7	13.7	1.02
Andrew Wiggins	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	2	10	14.5	15.2	-0.75	14.8	13.5	1.22
Kent Bazemore	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	14.9	14.5	0.38	13.5	15.0	-1.48
Kelly Oubre Jr.	74	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	7	0	15.2	13.1	2.14	14.9	13.0	1.92
Jordan Poole	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	7	0	16.7	13.6	3.15	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Damion Lee	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	10	-6	15.6	14.2	1.36	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Juan Toscano-Anderson	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	16	-18	7.5	15.0	-7.48	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Nico Mannion	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	15	-16	14.2	14.8	-0.60	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Mychal Mulder	3	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	9.7	14.8	-5.17	14.0	14.4	-0.43
James Wiseman	58	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	22	-30	14.5	14.9	-0.39	14.9	13.8	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 70, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 75, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 91, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%