NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	125		Excitement	9.5 [98]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +26.9%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	3.6 [710]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIL): -11.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.27	0.16	0.12	0.01	19	72%	0.37	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Pat Connaughton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	6	92%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	12	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.08	-0.02	0.13	0.02	12	48%	0.19	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.13
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.10	0.00	18	45%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.15,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.17	0.04	32	58%	0.42	6	-0.24	9	56%	-0.09
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.17	-0.00	0.01	18	72%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	83%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.0	30.0	14.8	29.9	2.4	31.6	133.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +7.6%

MIL +27.6%

MIL +26.9%

WAS -12.5%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	12.1	13.2	14.4	109.6	104.4	111.3
season	13.5	13.3		114.8	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	12.5	10.7	12.4	12.1
WAS	12.1	14.1	12.5	14.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	89	88	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.33	18	-12	30	11.5	14.1	-2.57	13.2	13.0	0.20
Bobby Portis	50	49	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-7	20	11.5	12.5	-0.98	14.5	12.2	2.27
Pat Connaughton	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	12.0	12.1	-0.08	13.3	13.0	0.33
Bryn Forbes	38	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	0	6	12.9	11.6	1.32	12.9	13.3	-0.45
Jrue Holiday	78	79	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	11	-16	12.2	11.7	0.47	13.1	13.5	-0.46
D.J. Augustin	38	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-5	16	11.8	12.2	-0.46	13.2	13.2	0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	70	70	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	9	-12	12.1	12.0	0.19	13.2	13.2	-0.06
Khris Middleton	78	80	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	9	-12	11.9	12.5	-0.59	13.1	13.4	-0.23
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	16.5	11.9	4.59	11.7	13.2	-1.50
Brook Lopez	65	65	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	18	-30	12.7	11.3	1.38	12.5	14.1	-1.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	79	77	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.21	15	-21	36	12.4	15.0	-2.61	12.5	11.1	1.38
Alex Len	77	76	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-15	24	13.3	13.0	0.25	12.1	12.0	0.11
Isaac Bonga	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-8	10	12.8	13.3	-0.48	12.4	12.0	0.42
Troy Brown Jr.	29	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	12.9	13.3	-0.40	13.0	11.7	1.32
Rui Hachimura	90	90	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-6	6	13.5	12.0	1.46	12.1	12.0	0.09
Robin Lopez	35	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	5	-16	13.5	13.1	0.46	12.3	12.0	0.30
Deni Avdija	83	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	13.3	13.0	0.31	11.8	13.0	-1.28
Raul Neto	61	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	5	-16	13.7	12.6	1.17	12.0	12.1	-0.15
Russell Westbrook	96	96	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.28	-18	12	-30	13.1	13.5	-0.36	11.5	14.9	-3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.06,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	92.1%
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	91.5%
GSW 100, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.07,0.04,0,0	91.3%