NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	100		Excitement	9.1 [130]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +46.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	6.0 [205]		LVP	Paul George (LAC): -38.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.00	11	50%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	11	56%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	13	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.07,-0.04,-0.09	0.08	-0.16	0.01	21	54%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.38	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.25,-0.38	-0.10	-0.27	0.01	21	38%	-0.30	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.32,0.46	0.46	0.11	0.36	0.01	27	60%	0.57	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.03	14	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.00	5	58%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	27.6	14.8	26.1	3.4	33.9	133.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.3%

MIL +19.4%

LAC -21.1%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.3	14.4	102.0	108.2	111.3
season	14.9	13.5		116.6	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.3	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	14.6	15.0	18.3	16.2
MIL	14.2	12.0	15.0	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	33	31	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.19	3	-8	11	15.4	16.6	-1.24	12.0	13.9	-1.88
Lou Williams	52	51	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.12	12	-17	29	15.8	16.7	-0.95	13.2	13.4	-0.24
Ivica Zubac	35	35	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-8	11	15.6	16.6	-1.00	12.6	13.7	-1.15
Reggie Jackson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	14.6	16.4	-1.73	8.7	13.7	-4.97
Serge Ibaka	52	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	16.8	15.5	1.26	14.0	12.5	1.48
Paul George	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.7	18.0	-2.31	13.9	11.1	2.77
Marcus Morris Sr.	48	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	2	-9	16.7	15.8	0.89	12.5	14.0	-1.50
Kawhi Leonard	73	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.46	-7	2	-9	16.6	15.2	1.42	13.6	12.5	1.13
Nicolas Batum	61	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.51	-7	2	-9	15.9	16.8	-0.96	14.0	12.1	1.87
Patrick Beverley	50	50	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.23	-19	14	-33	17.5	14.9	2.67	13.3	13.3	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	52	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-12	29	13.3	13.3	0.04	17.5	14.8	2.70
Donte DiVincenzo	55	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-6	17	12.7	14.0	-1.30	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Jrue Holiday	36	34	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	14.7	12.5	2.25	16.6	16.0	0.66
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	1	3	14.0	10.1	3.94	16.4	15.3	1.08
Pat Connaughton	58	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	6	-7	12.9	13.9	-0.94	16.4	16.0	0.42
Khris Middleton	67	70	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.41	-1	6	-7	12.7	14.6	-1.87	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Brook Lopez	60	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	-4	13	13.6	12.8	0.76	17.0	14.9	2.17
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	8	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	4	-3	11.5	13.5	-1.97	16.6	16.2	0.43
Bryn Forbes	25	24	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.03	-13	18	-31	14.1	13.0	1.04	14.2	16.9	-2.60
Bobby Portis	44	46	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.12	-12	17	-29	12.5	14.0	-1.56	14.7	17.6	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.59,1	91.5%
ATL 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.58,1	91.4%
GSW 91, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.73,1	91.0%