NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	8.6 [180]		MVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): +40.4%
Miami Heat	124		Comeback	1.6 [256]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -25.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	0.01	7	71%	0.25	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Joe Ingles	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	7	81%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	17	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Georges Niang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.26	-0.02	-0.26	-0.02	26	50%	0.00	5	-0.26	8	75%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.16	0.21	-0.03	15	72%	0.43	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	79%	0.25	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	22	60%	0.28	3	-0.18	11	82%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	58%	0.12	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
KZ Okpala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.2	14.5	30.2	1.8	37.5	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +68.2%

UTA -4.8%

UTA -2.2%

UTA -13.6%

MIA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.4	113.7	121.6	111.3
season	14.5	14.6		116.4	109.3
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	14.4	13.0	14.2	14.1
MIA	15.0	14.4	13.7	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	27	26	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-12	16	16.5	13.2	3.24	12.5	14.7	-2.25
Joe Ingles	57	54	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-10	12	14.1	14.1	-0.02	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Derrick Favors	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	12.0	14.7	-2.65	14.5	14.0	0.44
Royce O'Neale	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	13.5	15.3	-1.76	15.1	12.2	2.94
Rudy Gobert	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-6	4	14.9	11.6	3.23	14.2	13.9	0.34
Donovan Mitchell	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	13.2	16.5	-3.24	14.9	11.9	2.97
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	63	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.26	-17	9	-26	13.7	14.7	-1.07	14.7	13.3	1.43

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	49	50	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-3	14	12.9	15.3	-2.35	14.7	13.5	1.26
Goran Dragic	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-3	14	13.5	15.6	-2.12	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Duncan Robinson	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	3	2	14.4	13.5	0.86	15.3	11.6	3.69
Jimmy Butler	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	14.8	12.2	2.60	13.2	16.3	-3.14
Bam Adebayo	71	73	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	3	2	13.6	15.5	-1.89	14.4	13.3	1.10
Gabe Vincent	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	5	-2	12.9	14.5	-1.65	16.2	13.5	2.71
Kendrick Nunn	63	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	14.5	13.5	1.01	13.2	15.6	-2.32
KZ Okpala	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	15.3	13.9	1.45	12.3	14.5	-2.19
Kelly Olynyk	67	66	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	16	-24	15.0	12.4	2.64	13.7	14.8	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.55,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.78,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,1	92.5%
IND 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.96,1	91.7%
HOU 100, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.91,1	91.5%